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  • Monday, 25 Apr, 2022,
  • by @WatchDogRacing

Daily Mail: ‘Paddy’ set to marvel at Shepparton

G3 Country Championship placegetter Paddy’s Marvel has a tremendous record of 22 wins from 39 starts and he is expected to boost his strike rate in a 385m Free For All at Shepparton this evening.

All Inn Jasper – victorious in three of his last four races – is considered the biggest danger to Paddy’s Marvel.

Ferocious Caitty v Hill Top Jonnie v Luca’s Jebrynah v Soleus and Jaleesa Bale v G3 finalist Paint Peeler v Russian Berry v Elite Jet should be hotly-contested events.

The promising Slingshot Rusty, the in-form Release The Rage, dual G2 Shepparton Cup finalist Benchester and Skull are all tipped to enhance their records in their respective races.

LEST WE FORGET

Today’s Racing

Ballarat: 1:02pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Warrnambool: 2:52pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Traralgon: 4:43pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Shepparton: 7:09pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Today’s Drawcards

PADDY’S MARVEL

Trainer: Mark Morrissey
? Shepparton ? Race 4
? Box 1 ? 385m 8:15pm

Claim to fame:
– 3rd Group 3 Country Champ
– Won 22 from 39

TAB fixed odds: $1.40

The Watchdog says: Yes

RELEASE THE RAGE

Trainer: Steve White
? Shepparton ? Race 5
? Box 8 ? 450m 8:40pm

Claim to fame:
– Won 3 from 4 in Victoria
– Won 5 of last 6 overall

TAB fixed odds: $1.50

The Watchdog says: Yes

BENCHESTER

Trainer: Mark Morrissey
? Shepparton ? Race 8
? Box 7 ? 450m ⏱ 9:51pm

Claim to fame:
– Dual Group 2 finalist
– Won 4 of last 9

TAB fixed odds: $1.50

The Watchdog says: Yes

? THE WATCHDOG’S $10 INVESTMENT ?
? Monday 25 April

? $4 Multi


First
?:
Win – OX THE MAN
? Ballarat ? Race 1 ? Box 8 ? 450m ⏱ 1:02pm
TAB fixed odds: $2 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/764942331/race/1


Second
?: Win – OBOYA BALE
? Ballarat ? Race 3 ? Box 2 ? 390m ⏱ 1:43pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.45 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/764942331/race/3


Third
?: Place – VIKING REBEL
? Ballarat ? Race 8 ? Box 7 ? 450m ⏱ 3:15pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.30 Place (Top two finish required)
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/764942331/race/8


The Watchdog says
? : OX THE MAN (8) was impressive when placed on debut and he is expected to lead throughout today. OBOYA BALE (2) has turned in some cracking performances to date and she can light them up soon after box rise. VIKING REBEL (7) has a tremendous turn of foot, and he likes to stay wide in his races, so with a clean getaway he should be in the top two from the outset.


Multi price: $3.77

? $4 Multi


First
?:
Win – OPAL REEF
? Shepparton ? Race 1 ? Box 1 ? 385m ⏱ 7:09pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.70 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666543001/race/1


Second
?: Win – PADDY’S MARVEL
? Shepparton ? Race 4 ? Box 1 ? 385m ⏱ 8:15pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.40 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666543001/race/4


Third
?: Win – BENCHESTER
? Shepparton ? Race 8 ? Box 7 ? 450m ⏱ 9:51pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.50 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666543001/race/8


The Watchdog says
? : OPAL REEF (1) has shown plenty of talent to date and she is drawn to lead from go to whoa tonight. PADDY’S MARVEL (1) is a prolific winner, and he has the inside draw, so with a clean getaway he should be leading throughout. BENCHESTER (7) is back to his best and he will have enough pace to cross in the initial stages.


Multi price: $3.57

? $2 Exacta – 7,8 / 1,7,8 (50%)

? Must Watch Race ?

Grade 5 Heat

? Shepparton ? Race 6
? 450m ⏱ 9:05pm

The Watchdog says ?: LUCA’S JEBRYNAH (7) scorched early in his Sale win, and he should go with SOLEUS (8) throughout and one of them should get the cash. FEROCIOUS CAITTY (1) has the inside draw, and she is racing with confidence, so we have included her for second spot. HILL TOP JONNIE (4) – victorious in six of his 11 starts – is a promising speedster, but he is rising in class.

‘Must Watch Race’ Preview ?:

HILL TOP JONNIE (4) is sure to have plenty of support, however there is a stack of early speed in this event, so he could be a risk. LUCA’S JEBRYNAH (7) carved out a ridiculous 5.15sec to the first marker at Sale before scoring in a blistering 24.61sec last start. If he can reproduce something similar, he should have no trouble crossing early and he will prove hard to reel in. SOLEUS (8) is armed with a dazzling turn of foot and with the speed underneath, he should get a nice cart across early on. His last 30m isn’t great, so he will probably have to hit the lead before they turn for home. FEROCIOUS CAITTY (1) is getting stronger all the time. From the inside draw she should be able to punch through early on and she will make the outside division work hard throughout. Any one of five runners could get the cash.

Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666543001/race/6

The Watchdog’s selections: 7 – 8 – 1 – 4

? RECENT $10 INVESTMENTS ?

Sunday 24 April: $26.04 (+160%)
Saturday 23 April: $0 (-100%)
Friday 22 April: $0 (-100%)
Thursday 21 April: $9.20 (-8%)
Wednesday 20 April: $22.84 (+128%)
Tuesday 19 April: $32.52 (+225%)
Monday 18 April: $23.25 (+132%)

Past 7 days: $113.85 for $70 invested (+62%)
Past 14 days: $193.44 for $140 invested (+38%)
Past 28 days: $327.92 for $280 invested (+17%)

? MONTH x MONTH RECORD

March 2022: $392.18 for $310 (+26%)
February 2022: $288.97 for $280 (+3%)
January 2022: $302.53 for $310 (-3%)
December 2021: $384.82 for $300 (+28%)
November 2021: $300.47 for $300 (Even)
October 2021: $311.40 for $310 (Even)
September 2021: $220.69 for $300 (-27%)
August 2021: $262.63 for $310 (-15%)
July 2021: $309.18 for $300 (+3%)
June 2021: $324.38 for $300 (+8%)

NOTE: June was the first full-month of the new-look Daily Mail, in which The Watchdog has a $10 daily spend.

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@WatchDogRacing

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