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  • Monday, 18 Apr, 2022,
  • by @WatchDogRacing

Daily Mail: ‘Mouse’ looking mighty at Shepparton

Ms. Mighty Mouse – top-two in 11 of her 14 career starts – has a top record at Shepparton and she is expected to prevail again this evening in a 450m Restricted Win final.

Amazonian Queen – victorious in her last two races – and Ertugrul Bey are considered the biggest danger to Ms. Mighty Mouse winning her sixth race at start 15.

St. Marys Panda, All Inn Jasper – triumphant in two of his last three races – and the consistent Top Faith should provide a competitive battle in a 385m Free For All.

2020 G2 Ballarat Cup runner-up Special Talent faces last-start winner Emmy’s Shark, Beep Test Baron and Crabby Yabby in a Mixed 4/5 450m race.

Promising chasers Slingshot Rusty and Yelich are expected to boost their strike rates as well.

Today’s Racing

Ballarat: 11:05am start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Traralgon: 2:09pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Warrnambool: 2:43pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Shepparton: 6:51pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Today’s Drawcards

ALL INN JASPER

Trainer: Tony Duncan
? Shepparton ? Race 4
? Box 2 ? 385m 7:50pm

Claim to fame:
– Won 2 of last 3
– 21.72 PB Shepparton 385m

TAB fixed odds: $2.50

The Watchdog says: No

MS. MIGHTY MOUSE

Trainer: Roger Bloomfield
? Shepparton ? Race 6
? Box 5 ? 450m 8:28pm

Claim to fame:
– 78% top-two from 14 starts
– 25.11 PB Shepparton 450m

TAB fixed odds: $1.80

The Watchdog says: Yes

SPECIAL TALENT

Trainer: Michael Carter
? Shepparton ? Race 8
? Box 4 ? 450m ⏱ 9:02pm

Claim to fame:
– 2nd Group 2 Ballarat Cup
– 25.03 PB Shepparton 450m

TAB fixed odds: $2.50

The Watchdog says: No

? THE WATCHDOG’S $10 INVESTMENT ?
? Monday 18 April

? $4 Win – FUNKY FELIX
? Warrnambool ? Race 6 ? Box 8 ? 450m ⏱ 4:17pm
TAB fixed odds: $2.25 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/762539542/race/6


The Watchdog says
? : His recent form doesn’t read too well but he will appreciate the drop in class today and he is drawn to get the breaks. His record from this draw isn’t great but those runs were in much stronger company, and he didn’t experience any luck in running. He likes to stay wide in his races, so I’m expecting him to be afforded a clear passage throughout and he should be too strong in the run to the line.

? $1.50 Trifecta – 8 / 1 / 2,3,6,7 (37.5%)
? $1.50 Trifecta – 8 / 2,3,6,7 / 1 (37.5%)
? Shepparton ? Race 2 ? 385m ⏱ 7:14pm
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666542979/race/2


The Watchdog says
? : SLINGSHOT RUSTY (8) is a serious prospect, and he should have no trouble crossing and leading throughout. DIVERSIFY (1) has a poor winning strike rate, however he does have plenty of ability and with the favourite expected to be carving out time in front, he should be able to chase hard into second or third spot. We have gone wide for the other spot in the hope of securing some value.

? $3 Place – DYNAMO DASH

? Must Watch Race ?

Restricted Win Final

? Shepparton ? Race 6
? Box 6 ? 450m ⏱ 8:28pm

TAB fixed odds: $3.40 Place

The Watchdog says ?: DYNAMO DASH (6) takes on a talented line-up and she can be hard to follow at times, however she does have plenty of talent and MS. MIGHTY MOUSE (5) should give her plenty of room in the initial stages. I didn’t have her in my top four selections as I believe there are better winning chances, but she appears to be value at that price for a place.

‘Must Watch Race’ Preview ?:

MS. MIGHTY MOUSE (5) went through the first marker in a sizzling 6.55sec before posting a slick 25.19sec heat victory last Monday night and a repeat of that will see her go close again. ERTUGRUL BEY (8) has always shown plenty of potential, however he has really elevated his game in recent weeks. He can make a few mistakes in his races, but he has won four-of-five (80 percent) from this draw and he is very strong in the run home. AMAZONIAN QUEEN (1) is racing with confidence, and she will have plenty of support from the inside draw, while the talented GREYSYND SHOCK (3) turned in a strong performance when resuming last Monday night and he will be much better for the run. DYNAMO DASH (6) is the smoky in the event. Her recent form doesn’t read well but she can run time when in the clear.

Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666542979/race/6

The Watchdog’s selections: 5 – 8 – 1 – 3

? RECENT $10 INVESTMENTS ?

Sunday 17 April: $0 (-100%)
Saturday 16 April: $26.30 (+163%)
Friday 15 April: $0 (-100%)
Thursday 14 April: $0 (-100%)
Wednesday 13 April: $15.40 (+54%)
Tuesday 12 April: $17.55 (+75%)
Monday 11 April: $20.56 (+105%)

Past 7 days: $79.81 for $70 invested (+14%)
Past 14 days: $112.28 for $140 invested (-20%)
Past 28 days: $354.45 for $280 invested (+26%)

? MONTH x MONTH RECORD

March 2022: $392.18 for $310 (+26%)
February 2022: $288.97 for $280 (+3%)
January 2022: $302.53 for $310 (-3%)
December 2021: $384.82 for $300 (+28%)
November 2021: $300.47 for $300 (Even)
October 2021: $311.40 for $310 (Even)
September 2021: $220.69 for $300 (-27%)
August 2021: $262.63 for $310 (-15%)
July 2021: $309.18 for $300 (+3%)
June 2021: $324.38 for $300 (+8%)

NOTE: June was the first full-month of the new-look Daily Mail, in which The Watchdog has a $10 daily spend.

*Please gamble responsibly

@WatchDogRacing@WatchDogRacing

@WatchDogRacing

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