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  • Tuesday, 19 Apr, 2022,
  • by @WatchDogRacing

Daily Mail: ‘Bluey’ is back at Warragul

2021 G1 Australian Cup runner-up Fernando Bluey returns to the track at Warragul tonight for the first time since finishing third to dual G1 champion Aston Rupee in a heat of the G1 Melbourne Cup.

Pazienza and Archie’s Entity – both victorious in their last two races – clash in a 460m Restricted Win final, while dual Group placegetter Hamillson faces Orson Mick and Jerwood Bale in a Grade 5 400m race.

Three-time G2 champion Ferdinand Boy lines up against G3 finalist Zigzag Cabang and Sinful Angel in a 410m Free For All at Horsham this afternoon.

Shepparton Classic winner Matt’s Hope and G1 runner-up Fernando Mick duel in a Mixed 3/4 485m race, while Warrnambool Oaks winner Impulse Buy contests a Grade 5 485m event.

Today’s Racing

Healesville: 11:20am start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Geelong: 3:11pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Horsham: 3:14pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Warragul: 6:42pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Today’s Drawcards

FERNANDO MICK

Trainer: David Geall
? Horsham ? Race 4
? Box 6 ? 485m 4:17pm

Claim to fame:
– 2nd Group 1 Maturity Classic
– Won 2 of last 3

TAB fixed odds: $1.85

The Watchdog says: Yes

FERDINAND BOY

Trainer: David Geall
? Horsham ? Race 8
? Box 6 ? 410m 5:40pm

Claim to fame:
– Three-time Group 2 winner
– Won 40 from 76

TAB fixed odds: $1.40

The Watchdog says: Yes

FERNANDO BLUEY

Trainer: Lyn Smith
? Warragul ? Race 10
? Box 8 ? 400m ⏱ 9:45pm

Claim to fame:
– 2nd Group 1 Australian Cup
– Won 23 from 44

TAB fixed odds: $1.35

The Watchdog says: Yes

? THE WATCHDOG’S $10 INVESTMENT ?
? Tuesday 19 April

? $3 Multi


First
?:
Place – LEKTRA SAMMY
? Horsham ? Race 7 ? Box 1 ? 410m ⏱ 5:22pm
TAB fixed odds: $2.60 Place
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666542984/race/7


Second
?: Place – BARK HEALY
? Horsham ? Race 9 ? Box 5 ? 410m ⏱ 5:59pm
TAB fixed odds: $2.40 Place (Top two finish required)
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666542984/race/9


The Watchdog says
? : LEKTRA SAMMY (1) has the good draw, and he was smartly placed in his heat last Tuesday. If he can step on terms, he should hold a top-three spot through the bend and he can hit the scoreboard. BARK HEALY (5) is armed with a big finish, and he will appreciate the smaller line-up today. With an ounce of luck early, he should be able to tack on mid-race and make a big impression in the closing stages.


Multi price:
$6.24

? $6 Win – NICOLSON BALE
? Warragul ? Race 3 ? Box 5 ? 400m ⏱ 7:25pm
TAB fixed odds: $2.30 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666542985/race/3


The Watchdog says
? : He showed a tremendous turn of foot when scoring at Ballarat in a sizzling 22.02sec and I believe the draw actually isn’t too bad tonight. NO ANCHOVIES (4) has good early burn and he should give ‘Nicolson’ a dream run across, and he can then light them up through the bend.

? $1 Trifecta – 8 / 7 / 3,4,5,6 (25%)

? Must Watch Race ?

Free For All

? Warragul ? Race 10
? 400m ⏱ 9:45pm

The Watchdog says ?: 2021 Group 1 Australian Cup runner-up FERNANDO BLUEY (8) resumes from a spell and if near peak fitness, he should be winning. Pink Diamond Champion Short Course finalist THROW CAUTION (7) loves racing here, and he should have enough pace to cross to the lead and he can fill the quinella spot.

‘Must Watch Race’ Preview ?:

FERNANDO BLUEY (8) – narrowly beaten in last year’s Group 1 Australian Cup Final – makes his return to the track tonight. He has not raced since November of last year, but he is in good hands and a bold showing fresh is expected. He has won four-of-five over this track/distance so at 80 percent fit, he should still be able to get the job done. His kennelmate THROW CAUTION (7) is a track specialist, and he appears to be the likely danger. He is a near faultless beginner and has turned in some impressive performances of late, so if he can find the top early, he will make the champ work hard throughout. SMOKIN’ ZAG (5) and AUBAMEYANG (6) round out the serious chances. Both are poorly drawn but they possess a great turn of foot once balanced.

Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666542985/race/10

The Watchdog’s selections: 8 – 7 – 5 – 6

Today’s News

? RECENT $10 INVESTMENTS ?

Monday 18 April: $23.25 (+132%)
Sunday 17 April: $0 (-100%)
Saturday 16 April: $26.30 (+163%)
Friday 15 April: $0 (-100%)
Thursday 14 April: $0 (-100%)
Wednesday 13 April: $15.40 (+54%)
Tuesday 12 April: $17.55 (+75%)

Past 7 days: $82.50 for $70 invested (+18%)
Past 14 days: $135.53 for $140 invested (-3%)
Past 28 days: $354.95 for $280 invested (+27%)

? MONTH x MONTH RECORD

March 2022: $392.18 for $310 (+26%)
February 2022: $288.97 for $280 (+3%)
January 2022: $302.53 for $310 (-3%)
December 2021: $384.82 for $300 (+28%)
November 2021: $300.47 for $300 (Even)
October 2021: $311.40 for $310 (Even)
September 2021: $220.69 for $300 (-27%)
August 2021: $262.63 for $310 (-15%)
July 2021: $309.18 for $300 (+3%)
June 2021: $324.38 for $300 (+8%)

NOTE: June was the first full-month of the new-look Daily Mail, in which The Watchdog has a $10 daily spend.

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