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  • Saturday, 23 Apr, 2022,
  • by @WatchDogRacing

Daily Mail: Don’t argue with ‘Dusty’ at The Meadows

Premier Racing at The Meadows tonight features G3 Launching Pad finalist Dusty Bourbski aiming to win for the fourth time in his last five starts in a Grade 5 525m race.

Group finalists Aston Lavinia and Torpedo Tears, plus Aratuza Bale, clash in a Mixed 4/5 600m race, while the consistent Daph’s Zac and G2 Horsham Cup runner-up Americano Miss headline a Mixed 3/4 525m event.

Promising chasers Romina Bale and Set Me Free duel in a 525m Restricted Win race, while Fabriola Zero v Ms. Mighty Mouse v Fabriola Duran should be a competitive Grade 5 525m race.

The classy Sinful Angel is the standout chaser at Horsham this evening in a 410m Free For All.

Today’s Racing

Shepparton: 8:27am start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Horsham: 5:22pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

The Meadows: 6:35pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Today’s Drawcards

DUSTY BOURBSKI

Trainer: Andrea Dailly
? The Meadows ? Race 5
? Box 7 ? 525m 8:00pm

Claim to fame:
– Group 3 Launching Pad finalist
– Won 3 of last 4

TAB fixed odds: $2.25

The Watchdog says: Yes

ASTON LAVINIA

Trainer: Jessica Sharp
? The Meadows ? Race 6
? Box 2 ? 600m 8:22pm

Claim to fame:
– Group 3 Easter Gift finalist
– Won 4 from 8 Box 2

TAB fixed odds: $2.10

The Watchdog says: Yes

DAPH’S ZAC

Trainer: Andrea Dailly
? The Meadows ? Race 8
? Box 1 ? 525m ⏱ 9:08pm

Claim to fame:
– 69% top-three in last 13 starts
– 29.83 PB The Meadows 525m

TAB fixed odds: $1.90

The Watchdog says: Yes

? THE WATCHDOG’S $10 INVESTMENT ?
? Saturday 23 April

? $4 Multi


First
?:
Win – EXTREME FORCE
? Shepparton ? Race 5 ? Box 3 ? 450m ⏱ 9:27am
TAB fixed odds: $1.35 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666542996/race/5


Second
?: Place – CHILLOUT COOKIE
? Shepparton ? Race 7 ? Box 3 ? 450m ⏱ 10:02am
TAB fixed odds: $1.80 Place
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666542996/race/7


Third
?: Win – SINFUL ANGEL
? Horsham ? Race 4 ? Box 2 ? 410m ⏱ 6:20pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.45 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666543035/race/4


The Watchdog says
? : EXTREME FORCE (3) scorched in a trial here recently and he should make light work of this line-up. CHILLOUT COOKIE (3) will appreciate the drop in class, and he should be able to run into the minor end of the money. SINFUL ANGEL (2) spears the lids for a living, and she should be leading from go to whoa.


Multi price: $3.52

? $2 Place – OCTAVIA BALE

? Must Watch Race ?

Grade 5

? The Meadows ? Race 5
? Box 5 ? 525m ⏱ 8:00pm

TAB fixed odds: $3.50 Place

The Watchdog says ?: OCTAVIA BALE (5) meets a good line-up tonight, but she has turned in some handy performances here of late and she can come out running at times. There isn’t a lot of early pace drawn underneath, so I think she can find the rail at the bend and a top-three finish is on the cards.

‘Must Watch Race’ Preview ?:

DUSTY BOURBSKI (7) announced himself as a potential star through the Group 3 Launching Pad series and he looks very well graded tonight. He is yet to win here in four attempts, but he has been placed in three of those runs and he is a different chaser from when he last raced around this circuit. Two starts back, he carved out a blistering 29.23sec when winning at Sandown Park and if he can bring that type of form here, he should get down to around the 29.75sec mark. His kennelmate BELLE VIOLIN (6) is another improving type and he appears to be the main danger. He has won three-of-five over this track/distance and he is a very strong type. SHIMA JAKE (2) and OCTAVIA BALE (5) round out the serious chances. Both can show early pace at times, and they race well around this circuit.

Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666542995/race/5

The Watchdog’s selections: 7 – 6 – 2 – 5

? $4 Win – ASTON LAVINIA
? The Meadows ? Race 6 ? Box 2 ? 600m ⏱ 8:22pm
TAB fixed odds: $2.10 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666542995/race/6


The Watchdog says
? : ASTON LAVINIA (2) is a near faultless beginner, and she returned to her brilliant best when placed here last Saturday night. She should have no trouble finding the early lead and I’m expecting her to prove far too zippy for this line-up.

? RECENT $10 INVESTMENTS ?

Friday 22 April: $0 (-100%)
Thursday 21 April: $9.20 (-8%)
Wednesday 20 April: $22.84 (+128%)
Tuesday 19 April: $32.52 (+225%)
Monday 18 April: $23.25 (+132%)
Sunday 17 April: $0 (-100%)
Saturday 16 April: $26.30 (+163%)

Past 7 days: $114.11 for $70 invested (+63%)
Past 14 days: $177.05 for $140 invested (+26%)
Past 28 days: $351.83 for $280 invested (+25%)

? MONTH x MONTH RECORD

March 2022: $392.18 for $310 (+26%)
February 2022: $288.97 for $280 (+3%)
January 2022: $302.53 for $310 (-3%)
December 2021: $384.82 for $300 (+28%)
November 2021: $300.47 for $300 (Even)
October 2021: $311.40 for $310 (Even)
September 2021: $220.69 for $300 (-27%)
August 2021: $262.63 for $310 (-15%)
July 2021: $309.18 for $300 (+3%)
June 2021: $324.38 for $300 (+8%)

NOTE: June was the first full-month of the new-look Daily Mail, in which The Watchdog has a $10 daily spend.

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