A terrific clash between last Friday night’s G2 Ballarat Cup winner Compliance and Warrnambool Derby winner Mepunga Mustang highlights the fifth heat of the G2 Geelong Gold Cup tonight.
The sixth and final heat features recent G2 Shepparton Cup winner Substantial lining up against dual G2 country cup winner Yozo Bale and potential superstar Big Opal Rocks.
Meetings are also being staged at Healesville and Traralgon.
Dale Code’s Predicted Market Firmer
WEBLEC RANGER
TAB fixed odds at 10am: $10 Win
? Geelong ? Race 6 ? Box 8 ⏱ 6:58pm
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/763380220/race/6
Today’s Drawcards
Trainer: Daniel Gibbons
? Geelong ? Race 5
? Box 8 ? 520m ⏱ 6:37pm
Claim to fame:
– 3rd Group 1 Silver Chief
– Won 15 from 33
TAB fixed odds: $2.50
The Watchdog says: Yes
Trainer: Karen Pitt
? Geelong ? Race 8
? Box 5 ? 520m ⏱ 7:31pm
Claim to fame:
– 1st Group 2 Ballarat Cup
– Won 10 from 17
TAB fixed odds: $1.80
The Watchdog says: No
Trainer: Anthony Azzopardi
? Geelong ? Race 9
? Box 8 ? 520m ⏱ 7:49pm
Claim to fame:
– 1st Group 2 Shepparton Cup
– 100% top-three in last 7 starts
TAB fixed odds: $3.10
The Watchdog says: Yes
? THE WATCHDOG’S $10 INVESTMENT ?
? Friday 15 April
? $3 Win – REDGUM FLYER
? Traralgon ? Race 2 ? Box 2 ? 350m ⏱ 2:16pm
TAB fixed odds: $4 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/763380221/race/2
The Watchdog says ? : He has proven to be a reliable beginner to date, and he has been racing well in much stronger company of late. He should have no trouble clearing SALLY’S RETURN (1) and this appears to be his ideal distance range, so if he does find the top early, he will prove hard to reel in.
? $4 Multi
First ?: Place – KID MALAWI
? Healesville ? Race 7 ? Box 8 ? 300m ⏱ 3:22pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.80 Place
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/763380218/race/7
Second ?: Win – GOLD DRILLER
? Traralgon ? Race 9 ? Box 1 ? 395m ⏱ 4:22pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.80 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/763380221/race/9
Third ?: Place – GRACIE BALE
? Geelong ? Race 9 ? Box 2 ? 520m ⏱ 7:49pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.75 Place
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/763380220/race/9
The Watchdog says ? : KID MALAWI (8) is a Healesville specialist, and he rarely misses a place up the straight. GOLD DRILLER (1) will appreciate the slight drop in class and is drawn to lead from go to whoa. GRACIE BALE (2) really impressed in her scorching win at The Meadows, and she looks ideally drawn tonight. She should be able to lob onto the rail and head to the back in the top five and she will really power to the line.
Multi price: $5.67
? $3 Win – MEPUNGA MUSTANG
? Must Watch Race ?
Fifth heat of Group 2 Geelong Gold Cup
? Geelong ? Race 8
? Box 2 ? 520m ⏱ 7:31pm
TAB fixed odds: $2.30 Win
The Watchdog says ?: MEPUNGA MUSTANG (2) faces a tough task taking on COMPLIANCE (5), however I think the race should be run to suit. There is a stack of early speed, so the favourite is going to have to work hard to find the front. If ‘Mustang’ can land around third or fourth and avoid trouble, he should turn for home in a threatening position and he can then run over the top late.
‘Must Watch Race’ Preview ?:
There are six great heats and this one features last Friday night’s Group 2 Ballarat Cup champion COMPLIANCE (5). He showed phenomenal early pace before carving out a ridiculous 24.87sec and a similar performance tonight should see him set a cracking pace and head to the back straight with a commanding lead. He has won over 500m, however it is clear that 450m is his ideal distance range, so the last 50m is a big query. MEPUNGA MUSTANG (2) has obliterated the clock at every provincial circuit he has been too, and he has shown that he can run a true 500m with sizzling wins around The Meadows and Sandown Park. There is a stack of early pace in this event, so his other rivals may make the favourite work hard early, and he will get a nice sit just off the speed. With some luck in running, he will be there to pounce. HADOUKEN (7) needs to be respected, but he just isn’t running out a true 500m these days.
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/763380220/race/8
The Watchdog’s selections: 2 – 5 – 7 – 1
? RECENT $10 INVESTMENTS ?
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Past 7 days: $85.98 for $70 invested (+23%)
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? MONTH x MONTH RECORD
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NOTE: June was the first full-month of the new-look Daily Mail, in which The Watchdog has a $10 daily spend.
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