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Daily Mail: Substantial battle at The Meadows

Blazing Times, Compliance, Photo Man and Substantial should provide a terrific second heat of the G1 Silver Chief at The Meadows tonight.

G1 Melbourne Cup placegetter Kinson Bale stands out in the fourth heat, while G3 Silver Bullet finalist Xavien Bale highlights the sixth heat.

G3 Speed Star 525m finalist Paddy Wants Pats and Soda Titan โ€“ winner of his last five races โ€“ should be a great duel in the eighth heat.

Dale Code’s Predicted Market Firmer
TAB fixed odds at 9:15am: $2.40 Win
๐Ÿ“ Cranbourne ๐Ÿ Race 7 ๐Ÿ”ฒ Box 6 โฑ 1:39pm
Form ๐Ÿ‘‰

Today’s Racing

Cranbourne: 11:47am start
Formย ย ย ย  Tipsย ย ย ย  Key stats

Bendigo: 3:04pm start
Formย ย ย ย  Tipsย ย ย ย  Key stats

Ballarat: 6:47pm start
Formย ย ย ย  Tipsย ย ย ย  Key stats

The Meadows: 6:57pm start
Formย ย ย ย  Tipsย ย ย ย  Key stats

Today’s Drawcards


Trainer: Andrea Dailly
๐Ÿ“ The Meadows ๐Ÿ Race 3
๐Ÿ”ฒ Box 5 ๐Ÿ“ 600m โฑ 7:38pm

Claim to fame:
– Dual Group 1 winner
– 67% top-three from 48 starts

TAB fixed odds: $1.80

The Watchdog says: Yes


Trainer: Samantha Grenfell
๐Ÿ“ The Meadows ๐Ÿ Race 8
๐Ÿ”ฒ Box 1 ๐Ÿ“ 525m โฑ 9:18pm

Claim to fame:
– 3rd Group 1 Melbourne Cup
– 67% top-three from 46 starts

TAB fixed odds: $1.90

The Watchdog says: Yes


Trainer: Kelly Bravo
๐Ÿ“ The Meadows ๐Ÿ Race 12
๐Ÿ”ฒ Box 2 ๐Ÿ“ 525m โฑ 10:38pm

Claim to fame:
– G3 Speed Star 525m finalist
– Won 6 from 12 Trk/Dst

TAB fixed odds: $2.25

The Watchdog says: Yes

๐Ÿ“… Wednesday 22 December

๐Ÿ’ฐ $2 Place โ€“ FABRIOLA XIMENEZ

๐Ÿ‘€ Must Watch Race ๐Ÿ‘€

TAB Silver Chief Heat 2

๐Ÿ“ The Meadows ๐Ÿ Race 6
๐Ÿ”ฒ Box 5 ๐Ÿ“ 525m โฑ 8:41pm

TAB fixed odds: $2.30 Place

The Watchdog says ๐ŸŽค: FABRIOLA XIMENEZ (5) runs into an elite line-up, but this chaser is very gifted when at his best. He recently strung together three scorching wins between here and Ballarat over 545m and he tends to do his best work late in his races. There is plenty of early pace in this event, so if he can avoid early bother and settle mid pack, he should be able to run home into the placings.

‘Must Watch Raceโ€™ Preview ๐ŸŽค:

Probably the strongest of the eight Silver Chief heats with numerous winning chances. SUBSTANTIAL (4) has been a great chaser in his career to date, however I think he went to another level when scoring at Geelong two runs back in a blinding 25.44sec. If he can step tonight, he will prove very hard to hold out. BLAZING TIMES (1) has come up with the inside draw and with three wins from seven tries here, he will make a big impact in the closing stages. PHOTO MAN (3) is airborne at present, and he is armed with blistering early speed. The interesting runner is COMPLIANCE (2). He has some blistering provincial wins to his credit and although he won at Sandown Park last time, he was a bit disappointing. He led throughout and only managed to carve out 29.80sec. He is obviously a lot better than that, so we will be looking to see if he can improve tonight.

Form ๐Ÿ‘‰

The Watchdogโ€™s selections: 4 โ€“ 3 โ€“ 1 โ€“ 5

๐Ÿ’ฐ $6 Place โ€“ EARTHWORM JIM
๐Ÿ“ The Meadows ๐Ÿ Race 10 ๐Ÿ”ฒ Box 2 ๐Ÿ“ 525m โฑ 9:58pm
TAB fixed odds: $2.10 Place
Form ๐Ÿ‘‰

The Watchdog says
๐ŸŽค : He can be a little hit or miss early but he does muster quickly, and he should be able to follow XAVIEN BALE (1) through early on. He is as talented as any other runner in this series and with a clear passage tonight, he can hit the scoreboard.

๐Ÿ’ฐ $2 Win โ€“ HIGH END ย ย ย  ๐Ÿ€ Lucky Longshot ๐Ÿ€
๐Ÿ“ The Meadows ๐Ÿ Race 12 ๐Ÿ”ฒ Box 1 ๐Ÿ“ 525m โฑ 10:38pm
TAB fixed odds: $8 Win
Form ๐Ÿ‘‰

The Watchdog says
๐ŸŽค : He is armed with an elite turn of foot, and he appears to be improving with every run. His sister IDOLIZE recently landed the Group 2 Laurels final and I think he actually has more brilliance, so from the good draw, Iโ€™m expecting him to punch through and hold the early lead. He went a smart 29.54sec when scoring at Sandown Park and I think he will continue to get stronger, so a sub 29.90sec run tonight around The Meadows is definitely a possibility.


Tuesday 21 December: $0 (-100%)
Monday 20 December: $0 (-100%)
Sunday 19 December: $24 (+140%)
Saturday 18 December: $10.85 (+9%)
Friday 17 December: $18 (+80%)
Thursday 16 December: $0 (-100%)
Wednesday 15 December: $19 (+90%)

Past 7 days: $71.85 for $70 invested (+3%)
Past 14 days: $201.36 for $140 invested (+44%)
Past 28 days: $281.04 for $280 invested (Even)


November 2021: $300.47 for $300 (Even)
October 2021: $311.40 for $310 (Even)
September 2021: $220.69 for $300 (-26%)
August 2021: $262.63 for $310 (-15%)
July 2021: $309.18 for $300 (+3%)
June 2021: $324.38 for $300 (+8%)

NOTE: June was the first full-month of the new-look Daily Mail, in which The Watchdog has a $10 daily spend.

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