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  • Wednesday, 17 Nov, 2021,
  • by @WatchDogRacing

Daily Mail: Can ‘Cazz’ hold out rivals at The Meadows?

G1 Rookie Rebel winner Fernando Cazz faces G3 Great Chase runner-up Hamillson and the classy Whistling Bullet at The Meadows today.

Two recent Dogs to Follow, Buster Harley and Jungle Panther, are in action as well.

At Cranbourne this evening, prolific winners Rilynn Bale and Rocket Boy both return from month-long breaks.

Dale Code’s Predicted Market Firmer
TIGGERLONG NIBEL
TAB fixed odds at 9am: $2 Win
? The Meadows ? Race 3 ? Box 1 ⏱ 12:10pm
Form ?
https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539193/race/3

Today’s Racing

The Meadows: 11:39am start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Bendigo: 3:32pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Cranbourne: 6:47pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Today’s Drawcards

FERNANDO CAZZ

Trainer: Kayla Cottrell
? The Meadows ? Race 8
? Box 2 ? 525m ⏱ 1:44pm

Claim to fame:
– 1st Group 1 Rookie Rebel
– 2nd Group 1 Association Cup

TAB fixed odds: $2.50

The Watchdog says: No

RILYNN BALE

Trainer: Mark Delbridge
? Cranbourne ? Race 7
? Box 5 ? 311m 8:53pm

Claim to fame:
– Won 34 from 74
– Won 4 from 7 Box 5

TAB fixed odds: $2.90

The Watchdog says: Yes

ROCKET BOY

Trainer: Lisa Delbridge
? Cranbourne ? Race 9
? Box 5 ? 311m 9:27pm 

Claim to fame:
– Won 31 from 62
– 74% top-three from 62 starts

TAB fixed odds: $1.75

The Watchdog says: Yes

? THE WATCHDOG’S $10 INVESTMENT ?
? Wednesday 17 November

? $4 Multi


First
?:
Win – BUSTER HARLEY
? The Meadows ? Race 1 ? Box 1 ? 525m ⏱ 11:39am
TAB fixed odds: $1.75 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539193/race/1


Second
?: Win – ASTON ZIEBELL
? The Meadows ? Race 2 ? Box 2 ? 525m ⏱ 11:55am
TAB fixed odds: $2 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539193/race/2


Third
?: Win – DARRA ONYX
? The Meadows ? Race 9 ? Box 8 ? 600m ⏱ 2:07pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.70 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539193/race/9


The Watchdog says
? : BUSTER HARLEY (1) was enormous here last time, and he will be suited by the smaller line-up today. ASTON ZIEBELL (2) continues to improve and with the vacant draw inside, he should be able to settle in the top three and he will be very strong in the run home. DARRA ONYX (8) is racing with great confidence, and he should have enough pace to cross and lead through the bend. He went 34.62sec when winning here three runs back and a repeat of that can see him score again.


Multi price:
$5.95

? $1 Win – KENJI BALE     ? Lucky Longshot ?
? The Meadows ? Race 6 ? Box 6 ? 525m ⏱ 1:05pm
TAB fixed odds: $16 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539193/race/6


The Watchdog says
? : He returned to form with a strong 23.52sec Horsham win and he may appreciate the rise in distance today. With a good turn of foot once balanced, he should be able to get across and sit outside SAILOR’S GIRL (3) through the bend and he will dial up the pressure mid race. He went 30.41sec when winning here earlier in the year, he is a much better chaser this time around, and can easily go sub 30.20sec now.

? $5 Win – HAMILLSON

?Must Watch Race ?

Mixed Grade 4/5

? The Meadows ? Race 8
? Box 1 ? 525m ⏱ 1:44pm

TAB fixed odds: $2 Win

The Watchdog says ?: FERNANDO CAZZ (2) has the class edge, however HAMILLSON (1) should hold the top early and with some crowding expected behind him, he should be able to zip away mid race and he has the ability to go sub 29.90sec.

‘Must Watch Race’ Preview ?:
HAMILLSON (1) was recently placed in the Group 3 Great Chase final here and he has followed that up with three sizzling victories. He should pounce on the lead and he will be carving out blistering sectionals. FERNANDO CAZZ (2) is a Group 1 winner, and she was enormous behind Rebellious at Bendigo. If she can step on terms, she will be able to follow HAMILLSON through and make a big impact. WHISTLING BULLET (3) is more than capable and in great form, but her chances hinge on her being able to cross HAMILLSON early.


Form
? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539193/race/8


The Watchdog’s selections: 
1 – 2 – 3 – 4

? RECENT $10 INVESTMENTS ?

Tuesday 16 November: $6.30 (-37%)
Monday 15 November: $29.45 (+195%)
Sunday 14 November: $22.74 (+127%)
Saturday 13 November: $9.20 (-8%)
Friday 12 November: $4 (-60%)
Thursday 11 November: $13.85 (+39%)
Wednesday 10 November: $11.70 (+17%)


Past 7 days: $97.24 for $70 invested (+39%)
Past 14 days: $194.16 for $140 invested (+39%)
Past 28 days: $355.67 for $280 invested (+27%)

? MONTH x MONTH RECORD

October 2021: $311.40 for $310 (Even)
September 2021: $220.69 for $300 (-26%)
August 2021: $262.63 for $310 (-15%)
July 2021: $309.18 for $300 (+3%)
June 2021: $324.38 for $300 (+8%)

NOTE: June was the first full-month of the new-look Daily Mail, in which The Watchdog has a $10 daily spend.

*Please gamble responsibly

@WatchDogRacing@WatchDogRacing

@WatchDogRacing

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