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  • Monday, 15 Nov, 2021,
  • by @WatchDogRacing

Daily Mail: Will ‘Tea Pot’ be stout at Shepparton?

A terrific duel between Tea Pot Creek and Boom Out in a Mixed 4/5 450m race is the highlight of racing at Shepparton tonight.

Market Legend, All Inn Jasper and Return Serve will line up in a Mixed 4/5 385m event, while the GRV Vic Bred Grade 5 450m final featuring Jodie’s Boy and Aston Tango should be hotly contested despite the scratchings of Mepunga Grace and multiple Group finalist Amarillo Highway.

The well-performed Sagacious and Sir Harley are the standout chasers at this afternoon’s Cranbourne meeting.

The Watchdog was in-form yesterday with three of the four bets in the $10 daily spend saluting, which included the win of Zigzag Cabang in the $5,000 to-the-winner Healesville Puppy Championship final.

Today’s Racing

Warrnambool:
ABANDONED

Cranbourne: 2:39pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Ballarat: 3:07pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Shepparton: 7:02pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Today’s Drawcards

SIR HARLEY

Trainer: David Crawford
? Cranbourne ? Race 8
? Box 3 ? 520m ⏱ 4:59pm

Claim to fame:
– 50% top-two from 16 starts
– 29.55 PB at Sandown Park

TAB fixed odds: $1.60

The Watchdog says: Yes

ASTON TANGO

Trainer: Ben Magri
? Shepparton ? Race 6
? Box 8 ? 450m 8:57pm

Claim to fame:
– 60% top-three from 15 starts
– 25.15 PB at Shepparton

TAB fixed odds: $1.65

The Watchdog says: Yes

BOOM OUT

Trainer: Michelle Mallia
? Shepparton ? Race 8
? Box 5 ? 450m 9:47pm 

Claim to fame:
– Won 11 from 22
– 77% top-three from 22 starts

TAB fixed odds: $1.65

The Watchdog says: Yes

? THE WATCHDOG’S $10 INVESTMENT ?
? Monday 15 November

? $3 Multi


First
?:
Win – BELL BURNER
? Cranbourne ? Race 6 ? Box 2 ? 520m ⏱ 4:14pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.65 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/723399912/race/6


Second
?: Win – WINNIE COASTER
? Ballarat ? Race 5 ? Box 8 ? 450m ⏱ 4:29pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.95 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/712852865/race/5


Third
?: Win – SIR HARLEY
? Cranbourne ? Race 8 ? Box 3 ? 520m ⏱ 4:59pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.60 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/723399912/race/8


The Watchdog says
? : BELL BURNER (2) has a clear class edge and with BETA DAYS AHEAD (1) expected to push through and hold the top, he should get a nice run through and prove too strong late. WINNIE COASTER (8) is another who looks very well graded and if she can reproduce her smart 25.47sec PB run, she will prove too zippy for her rivals. SIR HARLEY (3) has always shown tremendous potential and he is really starting to put it all together. There is limited early pace in that event, so he should assume control soon after box rise and win with ease.


Multi price:
$5.15

? $4 Win – WHISPERS BLARE
? Shepparton ? Race 1 ? Box 1 ? 450m ⏱ 7:02pm
TAB fixed odds: $3.50 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539186/race/1


The Watchdog says
? : She meets a couple of royally bred first starters, however she has been super impressive in her two runs, and they will have to go sub 25.20sec to beat her. She has shown blistering pace soon after box rise in both runs and with an even getaway, she should assume control quickly and get every chance to score.

? $3 Place – ST. MARYS PANDA

?Must Watch Race ?

Mixed Grade 4/5

? Shepparton ? Race 8
? Box 6 ? 450m ⏱ 9:47pm

TAB fixed odds: $2.90 Place (Top two finish required)

The Watchdog says ? : ST. MARYS PANDA (6) runs into a couple of good ones but she can carve out time. If the leaders happen to crowd, she can capitalise.

‘Must Watch Race’ Preview ?:
Great matchup and we get to see the exciting BOOM OUT (5) go to work. He has scored some electrifying wins of late and he has one of the best turns of speed in the game. TEA POT CREEK (1) looks to be his main rival. His recent form isn’t great but he has a top record here and he is drawn to be on the pace from the outset. ST. MARYS PANDA (6) rounds out the serious chances. She will appreciate the vacant draws on her outside and likes to stay wide in her races.


Form
? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539186/race/8


The Watchdog’s selections: 
5 – 1 – 6 – 7

? RECENT $10 INVESTMENTS ?

Sunday 14 November: $22.74 (+127%)
Saturday 13 November: $9.20 (-8%)
Friday 12 November: $4 (-60%)
Thursday 11 November: $13.85 (+39%)
Wednesday 10 November: $11.70 (+17%)

Tuesday 9 November: $12.12 (+21%)
Monday 8 November: $13 (+30%)

Past 7 days: $86.61 for $70 invested (+24%)
Past 14 days: $182.11 for $140 invested (+30%)
Past 28 days: $335.32 for $280 invested (+20%)

? MONTH x MONTH RECORD

October 2021: $311.40 for $310 (Even)
September 2021: $220.69 for $300 (-26%)
August 2021: $262.63 for $310 (-15%)
July 2021: $309.18 for $300 (+3%)
June 2021: $324.38 for $300 (+8%)

NOTE: June was the first full-month of the new-look Daily Mail, in which The Watchdog has a $10 daily spend.

*Please gamble responsibly

@WatchDogRacing@WatchDogRacing

@WatchDogRacing

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