Kepal is expected to win his fourth straight race and eighth in his last nine starts in a 385m Free For All at Shepparton this evening.

2020 G2 Ballarat Cup runner-up Special Talent faces Little Tiger and Speedy Garry in a Mixed 4/5 450m race as well.

Panama Canal is going for 10 straight wins at Warrnambool this afternoon in a $10,300 to-the-winner Road To The Diamond Grade 5 390m final.

Dale Code’s Predicted Market Firmer
MIDNIGHT ROCKER
TAB fixed odds at 8:50am: $17 Win
? Shepparton ? Race 2 ? Box 5 ⏱ 7:24pm
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538557/race/2

Today’s Racing

Ballarat: 10:55am start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Traralgon: 2:22pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Warrnambool: 2:47pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Shepparton: 7:02pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Today’s Drawcards

PANAMA CANAL

Trainer: Jess Hopkins
? Warrnambool ? Race 4
? Box 7 ? 390m ⏱ 3:52pm

Claim to fame:
– Won last 9 (9 of 10 overall)
– 21.79 PB Warrnambool 390m

TAB fixed odds: $2

The Watchdog says: Yes

KEPAL

Trainer: John Barbara
? Shepparton ? Race 5
? Box 8 ? 385m ⏱ 8:26pm

Claim to fame:
– Won 7 of last 8
– 21.41 PB Shepparton 385m

TAB fixed odds: $1.22

The Watchdog says: Yes

SPECIAL TALENT

Trainer: Michael Carter
? Shepparton ? Race 8
? Box 4 ? 450m ⏱ 9:28pm

Claim to fame:
– 2nd 2020 Group 2 Ballarat Cup
– 66% top-three from 53 starts

TAB fixed odds: $1.75

The Watchdog says: No

? THE WATCHDOG’S $10 INVESTMENT ?
? Monday 9 May

? $4.50 Multi

First ?: Win – NAOMI BUTTERFLY
? Ballarat ? Race 4 ? Box 1 ? 390m ⏱ 11:48am
TAB fixed odds: $2 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/762538535/race/4

Second ?: Place – TRENDY UNIVERSE
? Ballarat ? Race 7 ? Box 2 ? 450m ⏱ 12:44pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.50 Place
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/762538535/race/7

Third ?: Win – KEPAL
? Shepparton ? Race 5 ? Box 8 ? 385m ⏱ 8:26pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.22 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538557/race/5

The Watchdog says ? : NAOMI BUTTERFLY (1) is ideally drawn, and she is expected to lead throughout. TRENDY UNIVERSE (2) likes to scrape the paint and with JAGGER’S LADY (1) expected to lead, he should get a nice run through in the middle stages and then hit the scoreboard. KEPAL (8) has panels on this line-up and there should be no excuses tonight.

Multi price: $3.66

? $3.50 Win – ASTON WONDER
? Ballarat ? Race 8 ? Box 2 ? 545m ⏱ 1:04pm
TAB fixed odds: $5 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/762538535/race/8

The Watchdog says ? : Her recent form hasn’t been great, but she is dropping considerably in class, and she is drawn to get the gun run throughout. She will need some luck in running but if BRINDLE FIRE (1) can step on terms, she can trail him through and she represents great value.

? $2 Trifecta – 8 / 1,4 / 1,4,7 (50%)

? Must Watch Race ?

Free For All

? Shepparton ? Race 5
? 385m ⏱ 8:26pm

The Watchdog says ?: KEPAL (8) – victorious in three straight races and seven of his last eight starts – should make light work of this line-up, while either MARKET LEGEND (1) and BLUE TICK FERN (4) can land in second and fill the quinella spot. LEMBOR (7) is suitably drawn out wide and he could sneak into third spot.

‘Must Watch Race’ Preview ?:

KEPAL (8) is one of the state’s best provincial speedsters and he returns to one of his favourite tracks. He has won five-of-six over this track/distance and with a clear run early, he could give the track record (21.30sec) a nudge. There isn’t a whole lot of early speed engaged, so he should get a cheap lead and with a clear passage, he will make light work of this line-up. BLUE TICK FERN (4) was a strong 23.30sec Horsham winner two runs back and the smaller line-up will suit her tonight. With an even getaway, she should be able to settle in the top three and work into the quinella spot as they near the post. MARKET LEGEND (1) rounds out the chances. He has a great record here and he is very reliable early.

Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538557/race/5

The Watchdog’s selections: 8 – 4 – 1 – 7

? RECENT $10 INVESTMENTS ?

Sunday 8 May: $23.04 (+130%)
Saturday 7 May: $9.60 (-4%)
Friday 6 May: $0 (-100%)
Thursday 5 May: $0 (-100%)
Wednesday 4 May: $6.63 (-34%)
Tuesday 3 May: $0 (-100%)
Monday 2 May: $27.50 (+175%)

Past 7 days: $66.77 for $70 invested (-5%)
Past 14 days: $124.65 for $140 invested (-11%)
Past 28 days: $318.09 for $280 invested (+13%)

? MONTH x MONTH RECORD

April 2022: $307.92 for $300 (+3%)
March 2022: $392.18 for $310 (+26%)
February 2022: $288.97 for $280 (+3%)
January 2022: $302.53 for $310 (-3%)
December 2021: $384.82 for $300 (+28%)
November 2021: $300.47 for $300 (Even)
October 2021: $311.40 for $310 (Even)
September 2021: $220.69 for $300 (-27%)
August 2021: $262.63 for $310 (-15%)
July 2021: $309.18 for $300 (+3%)
June 2021: $324.38 for $300 (+8%)

NOTE: June was the first full-month of the new-look Daily Mail, in which The Watchdog has a $10 daily spend.

*Please gamble responsibly