Shepparton 450m track record holder Mr. Audacious is expected to win for the seventh time from nine starts in a Mixed 4/5 450m race at Traralgon this evening.
G2 Geelong Gold Cup finalist Unathi Bale and Western Districts Derby placegetter Decimate clash at Geelong tonight, while at Bendigo this afternoon, dual G1 winner Jarick Bale faces the in-form Golden Quest.
Dale Code’s Predicted Market Firmer
NICOLSON BALE
TAB fixed odds at 8:55am: $4.20 Win
? Bendigo ? Race 3 ? Box 7 ⏱ 2:57pm
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538552/race/3
Today’s Drawcards
Trainer: Mark Delbridge
? Bendigo ? Race 8
? Box 8 ? 660m ⏱ 4:47pm
Claim to fame:
– Two-time Group 1 winner
– 68% top-three from 66 starts
TAB fixed odds: $1.65
The Watchdog says: No
Trainer: Correy Grenfell
? Geelong ? Race 8
? Box 5 ? 460m ⏱ 9:19pm
Claim to fame:
– G2 Geelong Gold Cup finalist
– Won 2 of last 4
TAB fixed odds: $3.40
The Watchdog says: Yes
Trainer: Rachael Busuttil
? Traralgon ? Race 9
? Box 8 ? 450m ⏱ 9:47pm
Claim to fame:
– 24.66 TR Shepparton 450m
– Won 6 from 8
TAB fixed odds: $1.33
The Watchdog says: Yes
? THE WATCHDOG’S $10 INVESTMENT ?
? Friday 6 May
? $4 Multi
First ?: Win – BLACKPOOL ASTRO
? Healesville ? Race 6 ? Box 4 ? 350m ⏱ 12:37pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.75 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538551/race/6
Second ?: Place – LETHAL VISION
? Healesville ? Race 11 ? Box 2 ? 300m ⏱ 2:11pm
TAB fixed odds: $2.30 Place (Top two finish required)
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538551/race/11
Third ?: Place – SHE’S A CHARM
? Healesville ? Race 12 ? Box 7 ? 300m ⏱ 2:28pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.35 Place (Top two finish required)
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538551/race/12
The Watchdog says ? : BLACKPOOL ASTRO (4) is a powerful type, and he looks very well graded today, so with an ounce of luck early he can get the job done. LETHAL VISION (2) loves racing up the straight and he will get a nice run through behind BLAZING SAL (1) in the initial stages. SHE’S A CHARM (7) is suitably drawn out wide and she will be strong in the run to the line, so with a clear run early, a top-two finish looks likely.
Multi price: $5.43
? $4 Win – UNATHI BALE
? Geelong ? Race 8 ? Box 5 ? 460m ⏱ 9:19pm
TAB fixed odds: $3.40 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538550/race/8
The Watchdog says ? : UNATHI BALE (5) really has gone to another level of late and he is a near faultless beginner. So, with another good getaway, he should assume control easily and he is around a 25.50sec type of chaser at Geelong now and that run would see him get the cash.
? $2 Trifecta – 8 / 7 / 4,5 (100%)
? Must Watch Race ?
Mixed Grade 4/5
? Traralgon ? Race 9
? 450m ⏱ 9:47pm
The Watchdog says ?: Shepparton 450m track record MR. AUDACIOUS (8) is expected to dominate and Group 2 Shepparton Cup placegetter DREAM WIZARD (7) will chase hard into second spot. MAXWELL (5) – placed in his last six races – looks the likely runner for third but the strong FRACTURED (4) is more than capable.
‘Must Watch Race’ Preview ?:
The electrifying MR. AUDACIOUS (8) goes to work again tonight and I’m expecting him to give the record (24.63sec) a nudge. He returned here on April 28 after a minor injury and he beat a good line-up in a best-of-meeting 21.90sec. He is better suited to this journey and he will be better for the run. DREAM WIZARD (7) is a winner of 32 races from 86 career starts and he appears to be the main danger. He has turned in some brilliant performances in recent months and he has the ability to lead or come from off the pace. He should get enough room to balance up and he will be on the favourite’s heels for most of the journey. MAXWELL (5) looks the likely option to fill the minor end of the money, however FRACTURED (4) is racing with confidence.
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538549/race/9
The Watchdog’s selections: 8 – 7 – 5 – 4
? RECENT $10 INVESTMENTS ?
Thursday 5 May: $0 (-100%)
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Tuesday 3 May: $0 (-100%)
Monday 2 May: $27.50 (+175%)
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Saturday 30 April: $11.50 (+15%)
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Past 7 days: $67.73 for $70 invested (-3%)
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? MONTH x MONTH RECORD
April 2022: $307.92 for $300 (+3%)
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January 2022: $302.53 for $310 (-3%)
December 2021: $384.82 for $300 (+28%)
November 2021: $300.47 for $300 (Even)
October 2021: $311.40 for $310 (Even)
September 2021: $220.69 for $300 (-27%)
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NOTE: June was the first full-month of the new-look Daily Mail, in which The Watchdog has a $10 daily spend.
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