Promising chaser Ms. Mighty Mouse – top-two in five of her six starts at Shepparton over 450m – is favoured to win a Restricted Win heat at Shepparton tonight, but New South Wales import Thunder Cut – racing for the first time since December 30 – will provide stiff opposition.

G1 Rookie Rebel runner-up Aston Ulysses is the class factor in a 650m Special Event with the in-form Nifty Nangar considered the biggest danger.

Blue Redeemer v Queen Amarok v Junior Marjen v Amazonian Queen and Aston Delight v Smokin’ Charlie v Shanlyn Bear should be competitive encounters.

Two Phones and Zachary clash in a Mixed 4/5 450m race at Traralgon this afternoon, while Elmo Rose v Jet Like Rico v Gold Driller should be a closely contested Mixed 4/5 395m event.

Today’s Racing

Ballarat: 11:07am start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Traralgon: 2:36pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Warrnambool: 2:42pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Shepparton: 6:48pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Today’s Drawcards

ZACHARY

Trainer: William McMahon
? Traralgon ? Race 8
? Box 2 ? 450m ⏱ 4:57pm

Claim to fame:
– Won 8 of last 13
– 24.63 TR Traralgon 450m

TAB fixed odds: $1.55

The Watchdog says: Yes

ASTON ULYSSES

Trainer: Paul Abela
? Shepparton ? Race 4
? Box 8 ? 650m ⏱ 7:47pm

Claim to fame:
– 2nd Group 1 Rookie Rebel
– Won 3 of last 4

TAB fixed odds: $1.30

The Watchdog says: Yes

MS. MIGHTY MOUSE

Trainer: Roger Bloomfield
? Shepparton ? Race 5
? Box 1 ? 450m ⏱ 8:09pm

Claim to fame:
– 77% top-two from 13 starts
– 25.11 PB Shepparton 450m

TAB fixed odds: $1.95

The Watchdog says: Yes

? THE WATCHDOG’S $10 INVESTMENT ?
? Monday 11 April

? $6 Multi

First ?: Place – MADLENKA
? Ballarat ? Race 10 ? Box 4 ? 390m ⏱ 1:47pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.45 Place
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/762539541/race/10

Second ?: Place – TWO PHONES
? Traralgon ? Race 8 ? Box 1 ? 450m ⏱ 4:57pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.50 Place
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/764943334/race/8

Third ?: Win – ASTON ULYSSES
? Shepparton ? Race 4 ? Box 8 ? 650m ⏱ 7:47pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.30 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666542962/race/4

The Watchdog says ? : MADLENKA (4) is a near faultless beginner, and she should turn for home with a nice break. The last 50m is always a concern but she should have enough in the tank for a top-three finish. TWO PHONES (1) is racing with confidence and is expected to have a great battle with ZACHARY (2) throughout. ASTON ULYSSES (8) is pure class and should be leading throughout.

Multi price: $2.82

? $2 Trifecta – 1 / 2 / 3,5,6,7,8 (40%)

? $2 Trifecta – 1 / 3,5,6,7,8 / 2 (40%)

? Must Watch Race ?

Restricted Win Heat

? Shepparton ? Race 5
? 450m ⏱ 8:09pm

The Watchdog says ?: MS. MIGHTY MOUSE (1) should pounce on the lead and score with ease. ERTUGRUL BEY (2) is a powerful type, and he should be able to follow MS. MIGHTY MOUSE through early, so with an ounce of luck he should be able to run into second or third spot.

‘Must Watch Race’ Preview ?:

MS. MIGHTY MOUSE (1) has shown loads of potential in her brief career to date, and she loves racing around this circuit. She has been sparingly raced of late and luckless in her past two, however from the good draw tonight, she is expected to make amends. She can go around 6.50sec to the first marker and that would see her lead comfortably and with the ability to press the 25-second barrier, she will prove hard to hold out. ERTUGRUL BEY (2) would prefer a wider draw, however he is racing with confidence. With the ability to lead or come from off the pace, he is a threat in everything he contests. WHERE’S GOOSE (3) has raced well without winning of late and merits respect, while THUNDER CUT (5) comes here with brilliant Lismore and Casino form.

Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666542962/race/5

The Watchdog’s selections: 1 – 2 – 3 – 5

? RECENT $10 INVESTMENTS ?

Sunday 10 April: $9.45 (-6%)
Saturday 9 April: $0 (-100%)
Friday 8 April: $23.02 (+130%)
Thursday 7 April: $0 (-100%)
Wednesday 6 April: $0 (-100%)
Tuesday 5 April: $0 (-100%)
Monday 4 April: $0 (-100%)

Past 7 days: $32.47 for $70 invested (-54%)
Past 14 days: $134.48 for $140 invested (-4%)
Past 28 days: $328.04 for $280 invested (+17%)

? MONTH x MONTH RECORD

March 2022: $392.18 for $310 (+26%)
February 2022: $288.97 for $280 (+3%)
January 2022: $302.53 for $310 (-3%)
December 2021: $384.82 for $300 (+28%)
November 2021: $300.47 for $300 (Even)
October 2021: $311.40 for $310 (Even)
September 2021: $220.69 for $300 (-27%)
August 2021: $262.63 for $310 (-15%)
July 2021: $309.18 for $300 (+3%)
June 2021: $324.38 for $300 (+8%)

NOTE: June was the first full-month of the new-look Daily Mail, in which The Watchdog has a $10 daily spend.

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