• Wednesday, 03 Nov, 2021,
  • by @WatchDogRacing

Daily Mail: ‘Jarick’ to go back-to-back at The Meadows

G2 placegetter Jarick Bale (3 of last 6) recorded a barnstorming win at Sandown Park last Thursday night and The Watchdog believes the winning form will continue in today’s Mixed 4/5 600m race at The Meadows.

Dr. Xander (2 from 4 Box 1), Aces Are Trumps and G3 finalist Carry On Maxwell are considered the biggest dangers to Jarick Bale.

Dual G2 country cup winner Yozo Bale, G1 placegetter Carry On Angel (2 of last 3 including a Melbourne Cup prelude) and G3 finalist Keep It Blue feature in the Mixed 4/5 525m race.

The promising Distinguish (8 from 14) faces G2 finalist Zipping Vernon and Val Ali (2 of last 4), while Attitude (4 from 7 Box 1) v Mt. View Emma v Meehan Tommy and Tiggerlong Flyer (3 from 7 – 2 from 3 Trk/Dst) v Weblec Gem v Mallee Swan v Vardan Bale are highly competitive races.

At Ballarat, G2 finalist Immunity (17 from 27 – 3 from 5 Box 2) and G2 finalist Got The Torque clash in the Mixed 4/5 450m event, while Angus Rhode (4 of last 6 – 21.71sec PB) is the standout chaser in the Mixed 4/5 390m race.

Aston Future v El Cazador (2 of last 4) v G3 finalist Weblec Scout (3 of last 4) v G2 finalist Well Grounded (won last 2) will be a terrific battle in the Grade 5 545m final.

Weblec Mist v She’s Serious (won last 2) v Indy Lolly (3 of last 5) v Aston Tango contest the Grade 5 450m race, while Mystify Kick and Graclyn Bale duel in the 660m Special Event.

At Bendigo this afternoon, Magic Marjen and Full Moon Party appear well placed in their respective races, while Jagger Bale and Squawking Budgie should both prevail at Geelong this evening according to The Watchdog.

Here’s an extensive analysis of today’s Must Watch Race, and be sure to scroll down further for ? The Watchdog’s $10 spend

? MUST-WATCH RACE: Cookes Electrical and Air Conditioning Mixed 4/5


? The Meadows ? Race 8 ? 600m 1:47pm

Form ?

The Watchdog says
?: Strong line-up and the explosive JARICK BALE (6) is expected to head the betting. Two runs back, he was desperately unlucky in a heat of the Group 1 Hume Cup, and he followed that run up with a breathtaking 29.28sec Sandown Park win. He steps up to the 600m journey again and although he is yet to win here over this track and distance, this is probably his perfect distance range. With the empty draw inside, he should be able to work into a prominent spot as they pass the post the first time and he can then light them up as they head into the back straight. He is expected to start skinny odds, so he may be a good anchor in your exotics, multis and quaddie bets. CARRY ON MAXWELL (8) is the obvious danger. He turned in an impressive performance at Geelong two runs back and although the pink draw but can be a little tricky on the bend start, he does possess a great turn of foot and he may have the speed to cross initially and put himself in a prominent spot as they settle. His last 50m is going to be a slight concern, but he has put up some quick times over 500m and I think he can handle the extra distance. ACES ARE TRUMPS (3) is the interesting runner. He can be a little hit or miss early, but he has carved out impressive times when he has timed the start over 500m, and he gives every indication that this distance range will suit. He has been thrown in the deep end today, but he is definitely up to this level, and he just needs to step on terms to make a big impact. DR. XANDER (1) and TYNSLEE BALE (2) are both expected to be on the pace early, however they are quite suspect over this trip, and I think they will crack under pressure in the middle stages.

 6 – 8 – 3 – 1

? Wednesday 3 November

? $3 Multi

? The Meadows ? Race 5 ? Box 2 ? 525m ⏱ 12:46pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.55 Place (Top two finish required)
Form ?

?: Place – VARDAN BALE
? The Meadows ? Race 7 ? Box 8 ? 525m ⏱ 1:27pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.85 Place (Top two finish required)
Form ?

? The Meadows ? Race 11 ? Box 2 ? 525m ⏱ 2:50pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.70 Place (Top two finish required)
Form ?

The Watchdog says
? : ZIPPING VERNON (2) will appreciate the drop in class, and he will get a dream run through at the bend and a top-two finish is likely. VARDAN BALE (8) will appreciate the smaller line-up and he will get plenty of room in the run to the first bend. He is quite strong in the run home and is expected to fill a quinella spot. GOLDEN RATIO (2) is better than her form reads and with the red expected to hold a forward spot early, she should be able to follow that runner through and run home into a top-two finish.

Multi price:

? $1 Trifecta – 6 / 1 / 3,7,8 (33.333%)
? $1 Trifecta – 6 / 3,7,8 / 1 (33.333%)
? The Meadows ? Race 8 ? 600m ⏱ 1:47pm     ? Must Watch Race ?
Form ?

The Watchdog says
? : JARICK BALE (6) is expected to prove far too classy. DR. XANDER (1) should hold the lead and although he is expected to get tired, he may be able to hold onto second or third spot. We have included strong types ACES ARE TRUMPS (3), ASTON ADONIS (7) and CARRY ON MAXWELL (8) for the remaining minor spot.

? $3 Win – INDY LOLLY
? Ballarat ? Race 5 ? Box 5 ? 450m ⏱ 8:17pm
TAB fixed odds: $3.40 Win
Form ?

The Watchdog says
? : INDY LOLLY (5) has been enormous in her past two wins, and she appears to be a serious prospect. She has brilliant pace once balanced and she should have no trouble crossing early and I expect her to turn for home with a nice break.

? $2 Place – ALL INN BENNY     ? Lucky Longshot ?
? Ballarat ? Race 6 ? Box 1 ? 545m ⏱ 8:38pm
TAB fixed odds: $7 Place
Form ?

The Watchdog says
? : He runs into a couple of handy ones but from the good draw, he should be able to settle in the top three and is quite strong in the run home. His run last Wednesday night was quite impressive when breaking the 31-second barrier in defeat. That was his first go over this track and distance, so I’m expecting him to improve on that and he will give a great sight at the big odds.


Tuesday 2 November: $5 (-50%)
Monday 1 November: $18.70 (+87%)
Sunday 31 October: $0 (-100%)
Saturday 30 October: $10.55 (+6%)
Friday 29 October: $8.80 (-12%)
Thursday 28 October: $10.80 (+8%)
Wednesday 27 October: $26.49 (+165%)

Past 7 days: $80.34 for $70 invested (+15%)
Past 14 days: $161.51 for $140 invested (+15%)
Past 28 days: $281.24 for $280 invested (Even)


October 2021: $311.40 for $310 (Even)
September 2021: $220.69 for $300 (-26%)
August 2021: $262.63 for $310 (-15%)
July 2021: $309.18 for $300 (+3%)
June 2021: $324.38 for $300 (+8%)

NOTE: June was the first full-month of the new-look Daily Mail, in which The Watchdog has a $10 daily spend.

*Please gamble responsibly



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