Even though Knicks Bale (4 from 5 Trk/Dst) won Monday night’s G1 Hume Cup final (600m), The Watchdog has tipped G1 Sandown Cup finalist Kenny The Brute to win tonight’s 715m Special Event at Sandown Park.
G3 placegetter Overflow Lisa (4 of last 7), Whodat Diva (2 of last 3) and Sandra’s Sticker are also strong chances to prevail.
The 515m Free For All features G1 finalist Jepara (29.31sec PB), Usman Bale, recent G3 Great Chase winner Ridge (5 of last 7), G1 Sandown Cup champion Zipping Rambo (19 from 42) and G1 Brisbane Cup runner-up Music Event (3 of last 4 – 29.17sec PB).
Multiple Group finalist Dream Wizard (won last 4) faces Super Marli, Amnesty and Perfectly Poised in the Mixed 4/5 515m race, while Group finalists Whatever I Say, Highly Explosive and Mepunga Katie line up against Invictus Rising (4 of last 6) in the Mixed 4/5 595m event.
Alfie Alligator (3 from 4 Box 1) v G1 finalist Tough Tears v Sharni’s My Girl (2 of last 3) v G3 placegetter True Collinda should be a highly competitive race.
Nike Apache v Specialty (2 from 3 Trk/Dst) v High End (3 from 4) v Earthworm Jim (5 from 9) v Photo Man (3 from 5) will be a terrific 515m Restricted Win final.
At Warrnambool, Robin’s Choice v Boom Out (10 from 20) should be a top duel, while Rapid Reiko v Tan Star v Kaheem Bale (9 from 18) v G3 finalist Hennessey (won last 2 – 25.10sec PB) promises to be a strong Mixed 4/5 450m race.
In the Tier 3 meetings taking place, Crabby Yabby and Got A Repair are both considered strong chances at Shepparton, while Queen Of Mojo and Freeman’s Hope (2 from 3 Box 1) are both expected to triumph at Warragul.
Here’s an extensive analysis of today’s Must Watch Race, and be sure to scroll down further for ? The Watchdog’s $10 spend…
? MUST-WATCH RACE: Bold Trease – November 26 Special Event
KNICKS BALE ? OVERFLOW LISA ? SANDRA’S STICKER ? KENNY THE BRUTE
? Sandown Park ? Race 4 ? 715m ⏱ 7:43pm
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539155/race/4
The Watchdog says ?: KNICKS BALE (1) captured the Group 1 Hume Cup on Monday night, and she steps up to the 715m journey this evening in preparation for the upcoming Group 1 Bold Trease. She is expected to roll to the early lead tonight and she has won four-of-five (80 percent) over this track/distance. However, most of her recent racing has been over 600m, so if she goes too hard early, she may be a sitting duck in the closing stages. KENNY THE BRUTE (7) has always shown tremendous promise as a stayer, and he returned to his brilliant best with a dazzling 41.53sec win here two runs back. He was an absolute moral beaten at Cranbourne last time as well, so he is racing with confidence at present and with the smaller line-up, he should be able to settle in the first two or three and he is really powering to the line at present. SANDRA’S STICKER (5) is the interesting runner. He gives every indication that he has what it takes to become a high-class stayer, however he has found the going tough in his past few runs when stepping up in class. I’m willing to give him another chance and with a clear run early, he could make a big impact. OVERFLOW LISA (2) rounds out the major players. She has turned in some big performances of late, however she is going to be giving some powerful types a head start tonight and I don’t think she will be able to bridge the gap. WHODAT DIVA (4) steps up to the big time tonight and she isn’t without a chance. She has been brilliant in her past three runs at Shepparton, and she is ready to tackle the 700m journey again. She has been beginning well of late and if she can settle in the top three, a minor upset could be on the cards.
Selections: 7 – 1 – 5 – 4
