• Monday, 18 Oct, 2021,
  • by @WatchDogRacing

Daily Mail: Rocket Boy to ignite at Shepparton

Rocket Boy (31 from 61 – 3 from 7 Box 1) made headlines three starts back with a staggering last-to-first Warrnambool 390m win and The Watchdog expects him to prevail in tonight’s Mixed 4/5 450m race at Shepparton.

The prolific winner will be challenged by promising chasers Aston Flame (7 from 16) and Security Man (9 from 18), with the latter aiming to stretch his winning streak to four races.

The 650m Special Event features Dundee Ember, last year’s G1 Sale Cup finalist I’m Easy Boys and the in-form G3 placegetter Knicks Bale (2 of last 4).

G2 finalist Zipping Vernon (3 from 6 Box 2) v Spring Driven v Uforo Bale (4 from 7 Box 6) v Geelong Oaks finalist Tan Star (4 of last 6) and G3 finalist Bett’s Blues (5 of last 7) v Aston Tango (4 from 10) v King Of Glory (8 from 21) v Call Me Harvey (2 from 2 Box 8) should be great clashes.

The Watchdog is confident that Axedale Pirate (2 from 4 Trk/Dst) and Mepunga Gertie (2 of last 4) will both triumph.

In the meeting at Warrnambool that begins this morning, Yallock Lass and Moonlight Digger should both break their maiden status today, while Deadly Express can record consecutive wins.

In the Tier 3 meeting at Cranbourne, Between Jobs, Aston Knox and last start Warragul 400m winner Aston Marley are strongly fancied to boost their respective strike rates.

Last start Ballarat 450m winner Rocky Strike and Exclusively Mine (2 from 5 Box 4) should both claim victories in their respective races at Ballarat’s Tier 3 meeting.

Here’s an extensive analysis of today’s Must Watch Race, and be sure to scroll down further for ? The Watchdog’s $10 spend

? MUST-WATCH RACE: CKH Painting Mixed 4/5


? Shepparton ? Race 8 ? 450m 9:18pm

Form ?

The Watchdog says
?: ROCKET BOY (1) is one of the best provincial sprinters in the state and he will be looking to atone for his luckless performance in a heat of the Group 2 Bendigo Cup last week. He would have preferred a wider draw, but he has handled this alley in the past and he is armed with a blistering turn of speed once balanced. There is plenty of pace drawn directly on his outside but if he can step on terms, he should be able to fire through and hold the top and with a clear passage he could press the 25-second barrier. SECURITY MAN (6) took a few starts to work it all out, however he has been astonishing in his last ten starts. When he has timed the start and gained a clear passage, he has shown scorching early speed and carved out time wherever he has gone. His latest win is probably the best to date. He went through the first marker in a blistering 8.21sec before stopping the clock in a ridiculous 22.27sec at Warragul. If he produces something similar tonight, he will definitely test the red. ASTON FLAME (2) rounds out the ‘big three’. Her recent form does not read that well, but she is an explosive type when at her best and she should show improvement tonight. If she begins well, she will have enough pace to clear the red in the first 50m and she can give a great sight. Punters looking for value need to respect COOL CUSTOMER (3). He returned to the winners list with a solid 25.61sec Ballarat victory and he can sneak into the placings at odds.

Selections:  1 – 6 – 2 – 3

? Monday 18 October

? Shepparton ? Race 4 ? Box 1 ? 385m ⏱ 7:46pm
TAB fixed odds: $2.40 Win
Form ?

The Watchdog says
? : He has really elevated his game in recent weeks, and he appears drawn to lead throughout. Three runs back, he took on the explosive HENNESSEY and he really tested him for around 350m before getting tired in the closing stages. From the good draw, he should be able to hold the top at the bend and with the ability to carve out around 21.70sec, they will have trouble reeling him in.

? $1 Place – COOL CUSTOMER
? Shepparton ? Race 8 ? Box 3 ? 450m ⏱ 9:18pm     ? Must Watch Race ?
TAB fixed odds: $3.40 Place
Form ?

The Watchdog says
? : He takes on a few good ones tonight, but he returned to form with a strong 25.61sec Ballarat win and if the inside two runners can hold a forward spot early, he should be able to push through at the first bend and turn for home in a threatening position.

? $4 Place – MY ENVY
? Shepparton ? Race 9 ? Box 8 ? 450m ⏱ 9:40pm
TAB fixed odds: $2.80 Place
Form ?

The Watchdog says
? : He lacks early speed and will need a few things to go his way, however he likes to stay wide in his races, and he has raced well here previously. There is plenty of early pace drawn underneath and I am expecting the leading division to bunch up at the bend. If he can stay wide, he should be able to avoid the traffic and run home into a top three finish.


Sunday 17 October: $19.55 (+96%)
Saturday 16 October: $10.20 (+2%)
Friday 15 October: $0 (-100%)
Thursday 14 October: $0 (-100%)
Wednesday 13 October: $11.20 (+12%)
Tuesday 12 October: $12.40 (+24%)
Monday 11 October: $19.20 (+92%)

Past 7 days: $72.55 for $70 invested (+4%)
Past 14 days: $133.77 for $140 invested (-4%)
Past 28 days: $264.94 for $280 invested (-5%)


September 2021: $220.69 for $300 (-26%)
August 2021: $262.63 for $310 (-15%)
July 2021: $309.18 for $300 (+3%)
June 2021: $324.38 for $300 (+8%)

NOTE: June was the first full-month of the new-look Daily Mail, in which The Watchdog has a $10 daily spend.

*Please gamble responsibly



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