The standout chaser at Warrnambool is Bareki (12 from 19), who has won both of her starts since resuming from a three-month layoff at the beginning of September.
Crackerjack Keg (21.78sec PB) v Robin’s Choice v Saint Mac (3 of last 4) v Alumni (3 from 7 Box 6) should be a tight event, while Aston Bomber v Numinous v Kenji Bale v Parlo Bale appears to be another hotly-contested race.
Last start Sandown Park 515m winner Boombox Hammer v Notoriety v Blue Spot should provide a terrific contest, while The Watchdog is confident that Dash Home (5 of last 6), Aston Latham (4 from 5), Sharky Shark (2 of last 3) and Soul Reader will all prevail.
Bill Bob Lad and Midnight Vandal should boost their respective records at Geelong, while Ironclad (4 from 10 Trk/Dst) v Throw Caution (2 of last 3) v It’s Not Fun (2 of last 4) v G3 placegetter Sovereign Wind is a quality 400m Free For All at Warragul.
Here’s an extensive analysis of today’s Must Watch Race, and be sure to scroll down further for 💰 The Watchdog’s $10 spend…
👀 MUST-WATCH RACE: Edwards Electrical Mixed 4/5
UNATHI BALE 🆚 BOOM OUT
📍 Warrnambool 🏁 Race 8 📏 450m ⏱ 5:43pm
The Watchdog says 🎤: Great matchup today with two explosive types expected to have a high pressure battle throughout. BOOM OUT (8) is still learning what it is all about, but he is armed with a breathtaking turn of foot once he hits the ground and from the favourable draw today, he should get every chance to balance up and tackle the first bend in the top two. He recorded his 25.22sec PB here from this draw back in July and he is a lot stronger this time around, so his rivals will have to go to another level to reel him in. UNATHI BALE (2) is just as gifted as the pink but like his main rival, he can miss the kick at times. He too has phenomenal pace once he leaves the mat and if given room, he should be able to push the favourite throughout, however with a keen railer drawn on his outside, he may get crowded in the first 50m or so and that could be the difference. KRAKEN TEX (4) deserves a mention. He is as honest as they come and although he has struggled here in the past, he is a very strong chaser. If he finds the rail soon after box rise, he should save a lot of ground through the bend and he will be strong in the closing stages, so he must be included in your exotic bets. MOW A MEADOW (7) rounds out the serious chances. He would have preferred a rails draw but he is quite versatile, and he beat a good line up at Cranbourne two runs back, so he is capable of causing a minor upset.
Selections: 8 – 2 – 4 – 7
📢 THE WATCHDOG’S $10 INVESTMENT 📢
📅 Tuesday 28 September
💰 $2 Multi
First 🦵: Place – AMERICAN MISSILE
📍 Healesville 🏁 Race 11 🔲 Box 3 📏 300m ⏱ 1:49pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.50 Place (Top two finish required)
Form 👉 https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539000/race/11
Second 🦵: Win – BACK MOO MOO
📍 Warragul 🏁 Race 1 🔲 Box 8 📏 400m ⏱ 6:46pm
TAB fixed odds: $2.60 Win
Form 👉 https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539002/race/1
The Watchdog says 🎤 : AMERICAN MISSILE (3) loves racing up the straight and she will be suited by the small line-up. She will head to the outside initially, but with the vacant draws, she should be able to get there without too much bother. BACK MOO MOO (8) was dominant in her heat win and although she was not the fastest heat winner, she did overcome some interference initially and she will be better for the run. So, with a clean getaway she can go a lot faster tonight.
Multi price: $3.90
💰 $3 Win – BOOM OUT
📍 Warrnambool 🏁 Race 8 🔲 Box 8 📏 450m ⏱ 5:43pm 👀 Must Watch Race 👀
TAB fixed odds: $2.10 Win
Form 👉 https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539029/race/8
The Watchdog says 🎤 : He recorded his slick 25.22sec PB here from this draw and I think he is a lot stronger this time around. If he can avoid bother initially, he can light them up at the bend and prove too classy in the run home.
💰 $4 Win – RUSH OUT
📍 Warrnambool 🏁 Race 10 🔲 Box 2 📏 390m ⏱ 6:18pm
TAB fixed odds: $2.30 Win
Form 👉 https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539029/race/10
The Watchdog says 🎤 : Her last few runs do not look good on paper; however, she has had to work hard after missing the kick on those occasions. With the red expected to show some pace today, RUSH OUT (2) should get a nice run through, and she is armed with a dynamic turn of foot. So, with a clear passage early, she can burn them off mid race and get the cash.
💰 $1 Win – VOLTAGE SPIKE 🍀 Lucky Longshot 🍀
📍 Warragul 🏁 Race 6 🔲 Box 4 📏 460m ⏱ 8:33pm
TAB fixed odds: $8 Win
Form 👉 https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539002/race/6
The Watchdog says 🎤 : She is armed with a terrific turn of foot and with the brilliant pace of NOVA’S WAY (3), she should get a nice cart across early on and she may prove too strong in the run home. She represents great value tonight.
💰 RECENT $10 INVESTMENTS 💰
Monday 27 September: $3.73 (-63%)
Sunday 26 September: $4.10 (-59%)
Saturday 25 September: $22.10 (+121%)
Friday 24 September: $7.98 (-20%)
Thursday 23 September: $0 (-100%)
Wednesday 22 September: $3.45 (-66%)
Tuesday 21 September: $13.78 (+38%)
Past 7 days: $55.14 for $70 invested (-21%)
Past 14 days: $90.04 for $140 invested (-36%)
Past 28 days: $176.42 for $280 invested (-37%)
📅 MONTH x MONTH RECORD
August 2021: $262.63 for $310 (-15%)
July 2021: $309.18 for $300 (+3%)
June 2021: $324.38 for $300 (+8%)
NOTE: June was the first full-month of the new-look Daily Mail, in which The Watchdog has a $10 daily spend.
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