A terrific line-up of stayers including G3 winner Mepunga Ruby (12 from 19 – 41.44sec PB) feature in today’s 715m Free For All at Sandown Park.
The Watchdog’s top selection faces potential topliner Gypsy Wyong (12 from 20), victorious in the $35,500 G3 Top Cat Video Cup final at The Meadows almost two weeks ago.
G1 finalists Persian Goddess (13 from 34 – 29.22sec PB) and Envy To Burn, plus Hugo, headline the $13,000 GRV Vic Bred Series 515m final, while G2 finalist Lots Of Chatter (6 from 14 Box 1) v G1 placegetter Lakeview Cruiser should provide a tense battle.
Graclyn Bale (2 of last 3) v multiple Group finalist Mepunga Felix v G1 winner Weblec Eagle appears to be a great contest at Warrnambool, while G2 finalist Aston Titan (17 from 42) and Rocket Boy (29 from 58 – 3 from 5 Trk/Dst) look too strong for their respective rivals.
Lady Belladonna, who was dominant on debut in a Shepparton 385m Maiden, returns to the same track and distance this evening, and could be the most promising chaser on the card.
Here’s an extensive analysis of today’s Must Watch Race, and be sure to scroll down further for 💰 The Watchdog’s $10 spend…
👀 MUST-WATCH RACE: Houdini Boy at Newhaven Stud Free For All
MEPUNGA RUBY 🆚 GYPSY WYONG 🆚 HERE’S TEARS
📍 Sandown Park 🏁 Race 4 📏 715m ⏱ 3:47pm
The Watchdog says 🎤: It is only a field of six, but it is a cracking line-up with some of the country’s best stayers going into battle. I firmly believe that MEPUNGA RUBY (2) is the best stayer in the land at present and she will appreciate the smaller line-up today. Since making the step up in distance, she has continued to elevate her game and her scorching 41.44sec win here three runs back stamped herself as a potential megastar. With limited early speed drawn underneath, she should have no trouble finding the rail initially and I would expect her to take a nice sit behind ‘Gypsy’ in the early stages. She has already proven her versatility with front running wins and off the pace wins, so with a clear passage today, she should prove too strong. GYPSY WYONG (4) is another who has continued to rise to the occasion since stepping up to this distance range. When she made her staying debut three runs back at The Meadows, she got very tired in the run home and I had my doubts that she would be a genuine stayer, however her two subsequent runs have stunned me. She followed up her staying debut with a bold front running performance when capturing the Group 3 Top Cat Video Cup final at The Meadows and the most impressive part of that effort was that she was pressured from the outset and was still able to hold off the powerful Hank The Hustler. I am expecting her to lead them up again tonight, however she faces another serious test with ‘Ruby’ in the line-up, so if the top elect settles close to her, she will have to pull out another massive performance. HERE’S TEARS (8) rounds out the big guns in the event, he has been a great chaser throughout his career and has captured numerous big race finals, however he is probably in the twilight of his career, and he will have to take a back seat today. The wide draw will suit, and he should be able to settle in the top three, but I do not think he still has the brilliance to match the two youngsters, so place claims appear best today.
Selections: 2 – 4 – 8 – 1
📢 THE WATCHDOG’S $10 INVESTMENT 📢
📅 Thursday 23 September
💰 $2 Win – RING A RANGER
📍 Sandown Park 🏁 Race 1 🔲 Box 2 📏 515m ⏱ 2:57pm
TAB fixed odds: $3.40 Win
Form 👉 https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/708395969/race/1
The Watchdog says 🎤 : RING A RANGER (2) is a highly promising type and although beaten by RIDGE (1) in his heat at Cranbourne, he is better suited around Sandown Park, and he can turn the tables on his rival. He missed the kick at Cranbourne and then had to work hard to find the top, he is normally better at box rise, so he should get a cheaper lead today and that should be the difference.
💰 $2 Win – VAYDA BALE
💰 $1 Win – WHISTLING BULLET 🍀 Lucky Longshot 🍀
📍 Sandown Park 🏁 Race 3 🔲 Boxes 3 & 5 📏 515m ⏱ 3:27pm
TAB fixed odds: $4 Win (Vayda Bale)
TAB fixed odds: $12 Win (Whistling Bullet)
Form 👉 https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/708395969/race/3
The Watchdog says 🎤 : This is a really strong race; however, I think we have found some value with the on speed runners. VAYDA BALE (3) has raced well here to date, and she appears to be getting stronger all the time. She recorded a brilliant 29.52sec when finishing second here last week and she should have no trouble crossing and finding the top at the bend. WHISTLING BULLET (5) is another with a good record here and she is normally very reliable at box rise. She is armed with smart early speed, and I think she can exit the bend on the outside of ‘Vayda’. Both can get a little tired and there are some gun chasers in this event, however I think the second division may bunch behind and one of the front runners can steal the race.
💰 $1 Exacta – 2 / 1,8 (50%)
📍 Sandown Park 🏁 Race 4 📏 715m ⏱ 3:47pm 👀 Must Watch Race 👀
Form 👉 https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/708395969/race/4
The Watchdog says 🎤 : MEPUNGA RUBY (2) should be able to settle in the top two and prove too strong in the run home. GYPSY WYONG (4) is the obvious danger, however if ‘Ruby’ gets to her early, she may fold up a bit quicker and that could allow KNICKS BALE (1) or HERE’S TEARS (8) to sneak into second at value.
💰 $2 Multi
First 🦵: Place – GYPSY BUN
📍 Sandown Park 🏁 Race 5 🔲 Box 2 📏 515m ⏱ 4:23pm
TAB fixed odds: $2.20 Place
Form 👉 https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/708395969/race/5
Second 🦵: Place – ABELERO BALE
📍 Sandown Park 🏁 Race 7 🔲 Box 1 📏 595m ⏱ 4:57pm
TAB fixed odds: $2 Place
Form 👉 https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/708395969/race/7
Third 🦵: Place – LAKEVIEW BONNIE
📍 Sandown Park 🏁 Race 11 🔲 Box 1 📏 515m ⏱ 6:25pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.35 Place
Form 👉 https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/708395969/race/11
The Watchdog says 🎤 : GYPSY BUN (2) is as honest as they come, and she should get a nice run through behind LOTS OF CHATTER (1) at the bend. ABELERO BALE (1) is drawn to settle closer than normal and with an ounce of luck in running, a top three finish is likely. LAKEVIEW BONNIE (1) was far from disgraced here last week and the rails draw will be a big difference maker today, if she can hold the top at the bend, she should hit the scoreboard.
Multi price: $5.94
💰 $2 Multi
First 🦵: Place – MOONLIGHT DIGGER
📍 Warrnambool 🏁 Race 1 🔲 Box 8 📏 450m ⏱ 5:37pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.60 Place
Form 👉 https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538988/race/1
Second 🦵: Win – GRACLYN BALE
📍 Warrnambool 🏁 Race 4 🔲 Box 1 📏 650m ⏱ 6:32pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.90 Win
Form 👉 https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538988/race/4
Third 🦵: Place – ASTON MIREYA
📍 Warrnambool 🏁 Race 10 🔲 Box 3 📏 390m ⏱ 8:40pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.65 Place (Top two finish required)
Form 👉 https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538988/race/10
The Watchdog says 🎤 : MOONLIGHT DIGGER (8) has been crying out for a wide draw and this distance range, so with an ounce of luck in running, a top three finish is on the cards. GRACLYN BALE (1) is drawn to lead, and she should prove too classy for her rivals. ROCKET BOY (4) is easily the most gifted chaser in Race 10, however he can be hit or miss at box rise, whereas ASTON MIREYA (3) is bullet proof at box rise and she will be in the top two from the outset.
Multi price: $5.01
💰 RECENT $10 INVESTMENTS 💰
Wednesday 22 September: $3.45 (-66%)
Tuesday 21 September: $13.78 (+38%)
Monday 20 September: $5 (-50%)
Sunday 19 September: $9 (-10%)
Saturday 18 September: $6 (-40%)
Friday 17 September: $3.30 (-67%)
Thursday 16 September: $4.40 (-56%)
Past 7 days: $44.93 for $70 invested (-36%)
Past 14 days: $72.06 for $140 invested (-49%)
Past 28 days: $161.71 for $280 invested (-42%)
📅 MONTH x MONTH RECORD
August 2021: $262.63 for $310 (-15%)
July 2021: $309.18 for $300 (+3%)
June 2021: $324.38 for $300 (+8%)
NOTE: June was the first full-month of the new-look Daily Mail, in which The Watchdog has a $10 daily spend.
*Please gamble responsibly
The content on this page was accurate at the time of publishing. If you notice any inaccurate content on this page or anywhere on the website, please report it here