• Saturday, 04 Sep, 2021,
  • by @WatchDogRacing

Daily Mail: Sprint queen to reign supreme?

Even though Victorian Sprint Championship winner Mr. Fix It has been scratched, the 525m Free For All at The Meadows tonight promises to be a fascinating contest.

Dual G1 winner Qwara Bale (20 from 36 – 29.79sec PB) is the headliner, but she is up against quality opposition including Aussie Secret (28 from 52 – 3 from 5 Trk/Dst) and G1 finalist Earn The Answers (3 of last 4).

Litter sisters Lala Ivory and G3 Cranbourne Classic winner Lala Kiwi (11 from 26) must also be respected.

The first of three G3 Top Cat Video Cup heats features Victorian Distance Championship winner Hank The Hustler (3 from 7 Trk/Dst) v Gypsy Wyong (10 from 17).

G3 winner Five Star v Knicks Bale (3 of last 5) v It’s My Party (2 of last 3) highlight the second heat, while G3 725m Speed Star winner Mepunga Ruby (11 from 18) faces Major Sacrifice (5 of last 8), G1 winner Here’s Tears (42.31sec PB) and Victorian Distance Championship runner-up Drako Bale in the final heat.

Due to the scratchings of Collinda Patty and Weblec Jet, G2 McKenna Memorial finalist Fernando Frank (34.33sec PB) is now favoured over Graclyn Bale and Nikoli Bale (won last 3) in the Mixed 4/5 600m event.

G3 finalist Black Avenger (29.63sec PB) is expected to sizzle as he did last Saturday night, while well performed chasers Yohan Bale v Run Like Jess (3 of last 4) v Mepunga Warrior (3 of last 4) v Gypsy Yankee should provide an intriguing battle.

At Horsham, the evergreen Benchester (25 from 69), along with youngsters Aston Flame (7 from 11) and Classy Sammy (3 from 7), are aiming to bolster their strike rates.

Here’s an extensive analysis of today’s Must Watch Race, and be sure to scroll down further for ? The Watchdog’s $10 spend



? The Meadows ? Race 8 ? 525m 6:39pm

Form ?

The Watchdog says
?: It’s a shame that Mr. Fix It is scratched but we still have an elite line-up. AUSSIE SECRET (2) has been enormous in recent months, and he deserves another hit out in town. I’m expecting him to hold a prominent spot at the first bend, however he will want to move off through the corner and there could be some bumping throughout, so he appears to be a little risky today. QWARA BALE (5) is still the sprint queen of the track, however her kennelmate LALA KIWI (6) is looking to overthrow her. ‘Kiwi’ recently captured the rich Cranbourne Classic Final and she was far from disgraced in the Speed Star series here last week. The box draw hasn’t done her any favours, but she can lead or come from off the pace in her races, so a forward showing is expected. ‘Qwara’ is always a factor in everything she contests but from the awkward draw, she is going to need a few things to go her way. She contested the Speed Star here last week and I think she was a tad disappointing. She went through the first marker in a sizzling 5.05sec and came home in a solid 29.99sec. She was untouched throughout the matchup and a sub 29.80sec looked likely, so I’m a little concerned that she may be a couple of lengths off her best. LALA IVORY (1) is the interesting runner, she has continued to improve and with the ‘Secret’ expected to push wide at the bend, she may get a saloon run through and can kick away mid race. CARRY ON STAR (4) is Group 1 placed and she must be respected, she doesn’t have the early zip of her more fancied rivals, but she is quite strong and can take advantage if there is some bumping at the bend. There are so many ways this race can unfold, and I can’t wait to see what happens.

Selections:  1 – 6 – 4 – 5

? Saturday 4 September

? $2 Win – LALA KIWI
? $1 Win – LALA IVORY                            ? Lucky Longshot ?
? $1 Win – CARRY ON STAR                 ? Lucky Longshot ?
? The Meadows ? Race 8 ? Boxes 1,4 & 6? 525m ⏱ 6:39pm          ? Must Watch Race ?
TAB fixed odds: $5 (Lala Kiwi)
TAB fixed odds: $9 (Lala Ivory)
TAB fixed odds: $14 (Carry On Star)
Form ?

The Watchdog says
? : Really intriguing affair this one, AUSSIE SECRET (2) is a near faultless beginner, and he is expected to be on the pace at the first bend, however he can push wide through the corner and there could be plenty of bumping. LALA IVORY (1) is an improving type, and she will get a dream run through, whilst CARRY ON STAR (4) is quite strong, and she can sneak through under the ‘Secret’ as they navigate through the bend. LALA KIWI (6) is poorly drawn but she is quite versatile, and she is ready to steal the spring Queen title from ‘Qwara’.

? $3 Multi

?: Bundle Bet – 1,3,4,6,8
? The Meadows ? Race 10 ? Boxes 1,3,4,6 & 8 ? 525m ⏱ 7:18pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.37 Win (Any one of the five selections to win)
Form ?

?: Bundle Bet – 1,2,8
? The Meadows ? Race 11 ? Boxes 1,2 & 8 ? 525m ⏱ 7:40pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.45 Win (Any one of the three selections to win)
Form ?

?: Bundle Bet – 1,2,8
? The Meadows ? Race 12 ? Boxes 1,2 & 8 ? 525m ⏱ 7:58pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.71 Win (Any one of the three selections to win)
Form ?

The Watchdog says
? : MASKED AVENGER (2) is a serious doubt to run the journey in Race 10, so we have gone extremely wide in that event. MYSTIFY KICK (1) is an absolute beast and he looks the goods in Race 11, however he can miss the kick at times, so we have included MY MATE TIP (2) and TIBERIA BALE (8) to be safe. ASTON RHONE (8) should get a nice cart across early, and he will take a power of beating fresh in Race 12, however we have included THUNDER TEARS (1) and DUNDEE EMBER (2) just in case he gets posted wide at the bend.

Multi price: $3.39

? $3 Multi

?: Place – BIG ALFIE
? Horsham ? Race 4 ? Box 8 ? 485m ⏱ 7:34pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.40 Place (top two finish required)
Form ?

?: Win – ASTON FLAME     
? Horsham ? Race 7 ? Box 1 ? 410m ⏱ 8:40pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.65 Win

? Horsham ? Race 9 ? Box 4 ? 410m ⏱ 9:25pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.30 Win
Form ?

The Watchdog says
? : BIG ALFIE (8) broke the clock here two runs back over 410m and he will appreciate the step up to 485m tonight. He can miss the kick, so we have taken the top two place option to be safe. ASTON FLAME (1) is a star prospect and I’m expecting her to fire first up from a spell. CLASSY SAMMY (4) is another exciting type, and he too should be primed for a bold first up showing.

Multi price: $3


Friday 3 September: $10.15 (+2%)
Thursday 2 September: $6.20 (-38%)
Wednesday 1 September: $8.37 (-16%)
Tuesday 31 August: $2.40 (-76%)
Monday 30 August: $6 (-40%)
Sunday 29 August: $7.50 (-25%)
Saturday 28 August: $0 (-100%)

Past 7 days: $40.62 for $70 invested (-42%)
Past 14 days: $112.38 for $140 invested (-20%)
Past 28 days: $215.07 for $280 invested (-23%)


August 2021: $262.63 for $310 (-15%)
July 2021: $309.18 for $300 (+3%)
June 2021: $324.38 for $300 (+8%)

NOTE: June was the first full-month of the new-look Daily Mail, in which The Watchdog has a $10 daily spend.

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