• Tuesday, 31 Aug, 2021,
  • by @WatchDogRacing

Daily Mail: Hey True Bluey!

Punters will be hoping Fernando Bluey – G1 Australian Cup runner-up & G1 Harrison-Dawson finalist – doesn’t “knock off for a smoko” at Warragul tonight.

But expert form analyst The Watchdog anticipates “is it me and you” for his top selection in a Free For All (400m).

Regardless, Coolant (13 from 24 – 3 from 5 Box 3) v Fernando Bluey (20 from 38 – 3 from 4 Trk/Dst) v Fortuna Bale (29 from 69 – dual G2 placegetter) is a fascinating face-off!

And Fernando Bluey’s young trainer, Kayla Cottrell, 19, will be confident her ‘true bluey’ “can bear the load”.

The Warragul meeting also has a ‘young talent time’ feel, comprising rising stars Revolution (4 from 5) and Aston Amigo (4 from 12 – 3 of past 5).

Additionally, Cottrell will be chasing a double on the program. She’ll also rug lightly raced Invictus Jaxson (6 from 20 – 4 of past 8), who defeated potential champ Rebellious two starts ago at Sandown Park.

And ex-WA star Fantastic Raven (13 from 30 – 4 of past 4) has ‘sprouted wings’ in Victoria.

Meanwhile, at Cranbourne today, we’ll find out whose ‘on song’ between Jazz Opera (7 from 21 – 1st G3 Vic Bred Maiden) v Xavien Bale (10 from 29 – 2nd Wagga Gold Cup).

Here’s an extensive analysis of today’s Must Watch Race, and be sure to scroll down further for ? The Watchdog’s $10 spend

? MUST-WATCH RACE: The Barn Bar Free For All


? Warragul ? Race 8 ? 400m 9:05pm

Form ?

The Watchdog says ?: Racing fans are in for a treat with Group 1 Australian Cup runner-up FERNANDO BLUEY (5) going around and he’s expected to light up the clock. He’s been sparingly raced of late but has won two of three since resuming with his latest victory being over provincial star Oriental Amber at Shepparton in a scorching 21.53sec. He comes into this after a month off the scene and has raced well fresh in the past so, with an even getaway, he should cross and lead and a sub-22.50sec run could be on the cards. Prolific winner FORTUNA BALE (6) appears to be ‘Bluey’s’ main danger. She’s won a staggering 29 of 69 (42%) overall and is still racing as well as ever. She’s normally faultless at box rise and with the pace drawn directly on her inside, she should get a nice run into the first turn. She’ll be there to capitalise if the favourite makes a slight mistake. COOLANT (3) is a consistent short courser and is expected to make his high-profile opponents work hard from the outset. He has some scorching 311m wins to his credit and although a little suspect in the closing stages, he should still give a great sight. Kennelmates TOP FAITH (2) and MY FAITH (7) are both track specialists and although rising in class, they can sneak into the placings at nice odds.

Selections: 5 – 6 – 3 – 4

? Tuesday 31 August

? $1 Quaddie – 8.33% (12 combinations)
? Cranbourne ? Races 5 – 8 ⏱ 12:10pm
Form ?

?: 1,2,3
? ?: 3,8
? ? ?: 2,4
? ? ? ?: 4

The Watchdog says ?: REMY’S GIRL (1), RUN BABA RUN (2) and ALUMNI (3) are all gun speedsters and whoever finds the top at the bend should get the cash in the first leg. SIERRA FOXTROT (8) is all class and deserves a change of luck, while ROCKSTAR RUBY (3) will appreciate having two vacant draws on her outside, so needs to be included in the second leg. HARLEQUIN ROSE (2) and DELANCY BALE (4) hold the class edge in the third leg, and they should tackle the first turn in the top three and one of them should prove too strong in the run home. XAVIEN BALE (4) is airborne at present and should get a nice cart across from JAZZ OPERA (3) in the initial stages.

? Horsham ? Race 4 ? Box 7 ? 410m ⏱ 4:07pm
TAB fixed odds: $4.60 Win

The Watchdog says ? : He’s still learning what it’s all about but has shown plenty of talent to date and likes to use plenty of the track. He won his Maiden here in June from this draw in a solid 23.71sec and is a much faster chaser this time around. The first 40m will be crucial, but with some clear running he should tackle the bend in a prominent spot and prove too strong late.

? Horsham ? Race 5 ? Box 2? 410m ⏱ 4:22pm
TAB fixed odds: $2.40 Place

The Watchdog says ? : The ‘Hulk’ has been racing well in strong company of late and is drawn to get all the breaks. He runs into a few good ones again, but SPRING CANDICE (1) is expected to hold the lead through the first bend, which should allow him to get a nice run through mid-race, and the last 100m of the race is where he will do his best work.

? $2 Multi


First ?: Win – STUDLEY
? Horsham ? Race 6 ? Box 1 ? 410m ⏱ 4:49pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.55 Win
Form ?

Second ?: Place – GREGARIOUS
? Horsham ? Race 10 ? Box 1 ? 410m ⏱ 6:18pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.40 Place


Third ?: Place – ASTRO BOY
? Horsham ? Race 12 ? Box 8 ? 410m ⏱ 6:57pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.28 Place
Form ?

The Watchdog says ? : STUDLEY (1) is a serious talent and drawn to lead throughout in Race 6. GREGARIOUS (1) is drawn to hold a prominent spot through the bend and has been racing in consistent fashion, so a top three finish looks likely. ASTRO BOY (8) likes to scout wide in his races and from the favourable draw, he should gain a clear passage throughout. He has some very quick wins to his credit, so he should figure in the finish.

Multi price: $2.80

? $1 Each Way – COOL CUSTOMER
? Warragul ? Race 7 ? Box 4 ? 400m ⏱ 8:45pm
TAB fixed odds: $12 Win
TAB fixed odds: $2.40 Place

The Watchdog says ? : He doesn’t have a great record here, but has a big motor and can carve out serious time when in the clear. He takes on a few good ones but with some room early, he should settle in the top two or three as they head into the bend and make his presence felt at the business end.

? $1 Exacta – 5 / 3,6 (50%)
? Warragul ? Race 8 ? 400m ⏱ 9:05pm ***Must Watch Race***
Form ?

The Watchdog says ? : FERNANDO BLUEY (5) has been brilliant since resuming and after another freshen up, he’s expected to fire. He should have the speed to cross and lead and will bring FORTUNA BALE (6) across with him in the initial stages. We have included COOLANT (3) for second because he can come out running and could turn for home in a prominent position.


Monday 30 August: $6 (-40%)
Sunday 29 August: $7.50 (-25%)
Saturday 28 August: $0 (-100%)
Friday 27 August: $9.70 (-3%)

Thursday 26 August: $0 (-100%)
Wednesday 25 August: $20.76 (+108%)

Tuesday 24 August: $0 (-100%)

Past 7 days: $43.96 for $70 invested (-37%)

Past 14 days: $109.94 for $140 Invested (-21%)

Past 28 days: $241.55 for $280 Invested (-14%)


July 2021: $309.18 for $300 (+3%)
June 2021: $324.38 for $300 (+8%)

NOTE: June was the first full-month of the new-look Daily Mail, in which The Watchdog has a $10 daily spend.

*Please gamble responsibly



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