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  • Thursday, 28 Apr, 2022,
  • by @WatchDogRacing

Daily Mail: Cup winner ‘Compliance’ at Warrnambool

Eight outstanding heats of the G2 Warrnambool Cup are being staged this evening and this month’s G2 Ballarat Cup winner Compliance is the standout chaser in the fifth heat.

G2 runner-up Americano Miss v the in-form Zachary v G3 finalist Fearless Rory is a strong first heat, while dual G2 country cup winner Typhoon Sammy dominates the second heat.

G3 winner Hennessey v the exciting Amron Boy v G3 finalist Mepunga Mustang battle in the third heat, while Bang and G3 placegetter Old News contest the fourth heat.

G2 Shepparton Cup winner Substantial and three-time G2 country cup champion Ferdinand Boy headline the sixth and seventh heats respectively, while G3 finalist Hadouken v G1 runner-up Fernando Mick v G1 placegetter Titan Blazer is an exciting clash in the eighth heat.

Premier Racing at Sandown Park is highlighted by the duel between G2 winner Hill Top Jack and G1 finalist Immunity, while G2 finalist Mr. Audacious is the headline act at Traralgon.

Today’s Racing

Warragul: 11:25am start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Shepparton: 2:56pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Traralgon: 5:20pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Sandown Park: 6:54pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Warrnambool: 7:09pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Today’s Drawcards

TYPHOON SAMMY

Trainer: Jason Thompson
? Warrnambool ? Race 4
? Box 3 ? 450m 8:10pm

Claim to fame:
– Dual Group 2 winner
– Won 28 from 44

TAB fixed odds: $1.35

The Watchdog says: Yes

COMPLIANCE

Trainer: Karen Pitt
? Warrnambool ? Race 7
? Box 1 ? 450m 9:13pm

Claim to fame:
– 1st Group 2 Ballarat Cup
– Won 10 from 19

TAB fixed odds: $1.50

The Watchdog says: Yes

FERDINAND BOY

Trainer: David Geall
? Warrnambool ? Race 9
? Box 1 ? 450m ⏱ 9:58pm

Claim to fame:
– Three-time Group 2 winner
– Won 41 from 77

TAB fixed odds: $1.60

The Watchdog says: Yes

? THE WATCHDOG’S $10 INVESTMENT ?
? Thursday 28 April

? $2 Place – MADAM CHELSEA     ? Lucky Longshot ?
? Sandown Park ? Race 1 ? Box 3 ? 515m ⏱ 6:54pm
TAB fixed odds: $7 Place
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666543013/race/1


The Watchdog says
? : She has turned in some handy performances of late and she finds herself in a race which suits. There is plenty of early pace engaged in this event, so I’m expecting there to be some bumping up front and that should allow her to get a nice run through mid-race and she will be very strong in the run home. At the current price, she appears to be well over the odds.

? $2.50 Multi


First
?:
Place – SIR CHAPPY
? Sandown Park ? Race 2 ? Box 4 ? 515m ⏱ 7:19pm
TAB fixed odds: $2.10 Place (Top two finish required)
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666543013/race/2


Second
?: Place – ROHAN BALE
? Sandown Park ? Race 5 ? Box 3 ? 595m ⏱ 8:19pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.50 Place (Top two finish required)
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666543013/race/5


Third
?: Place – THAT’LL DO NEO
? Sandown Park ? Race 9 ? Box 4 ? 515m ⏱ 9:45pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.55 Place (Top two finish required)
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666543013/race/9


The Watchdog says
? : SIR CHAPPY (4) is racing with confidence, and he is armed with a slick turn of foot, so if he can clear GREYSYND SHOCK (3) early on, he should be able to hit the scoreboard. ROHAN BALE (3) was big here last Thursday night and with a clear run early, he should be in the mix once again. THAT’LL DO NEO (4) is racing with confidence at present and he should be able to assume control at the first bend.


Multi price: $4.88

? $2.50 Multi


First
?:
Win – TYPHOON SAMMY
? Warrnambool ? Race 4 ? Box 3 ? 450m ⏱ 8:10pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.35 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666543014/race/4


Second
?: Place – INDY FIDO
? Warrnambool ? Race 8 ? Box 3 ? 450m ⏱ 9:36pm
TAB fixed odds: $2.60 Place
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666543014/race/8


Third
?: Place – TITAN BLAZER
? Warrnambool ? Race 10 ? Box 8 ? 450m ⏱ 10:14pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.35 Place
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666543014/race/10


The Watchdog says
? : TYPHOON SAMMY (3) has a bit on these and he should be leading from go to whoa. I’m a big fan of INDY FIDO (3) and with the inside two runners expected to hold a forward spot early, he should be able to find the rail initially and work into the top two as they head through the bend. TITAN BLAZER (8) is ideally drawn out wide and he should be finishing in the top three.


Multi price: $4.74

? $3 Place – WEBLEC RANGER

? Must Watch Race ?

Fifth heat of the Group 2 Warrnambool Cup

? Warrnambool ? Race 7
? Box 2 ? 450m ⏱ 9:13pm

TAB fixed odds: $2.40 Place

The Watchdog says ?: COMPLIANCE (1) is going to take a power of beating, however WEBLEC RANGER (2) has gone to another level of late and he represents value to run a place. He should be able to follow the Group 2 Ballarat Cup winner early and he will be in the top three throughout.

‘Must Watch Race’ Preview ?:

Group 2 Ballarat Cup winner COMPLIANCE (1) looks poised to qualify for another country cup final. His past two runs have been over the unsuitable 520m journey, so we need to forgive those defeats and over 450m tonight, we should see the best of him. He has some steady beginners drawn on his outside, so if he can step on terms, he should be able to pounce on the lead and he will be carving out time. The classy BAROOGA SMOKE (4) appears to be the likely danger. He has won here previously in a blistering 24.91sec and he will be very strong in the run home. NIKOLI BALE (3) hasn’t won in a while, but he has turned in some great performances of late and he is capable of causing an upset, while the powerful WEBLEC RANGER (2) has gone to another level in recent months.

Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666543014/race/7

The Watchdog’s selections: 1 – 4 – 3 – 2

? RECENT $10 INVESTMENTS ?

Wednesday 27 April: $0 (-100%)
Tuesday 26 April: $10 (Even)
Monday 25 April: $14.28 (+42%)
Sunday 24 April: $26.04 (+160%)
Saturday 23 April: $0 (-100%)
Friday 22 April: $0 (-100%)
Thursday 21 April: $9.20 (-8%)

Past 7 days: $59.52 for $70 invested (-15%)
Past 14 days: $164.23 for $140 invested (+17%)
Past 28 days: $301.32 for $280 invested (+7%)

? MONTH x MONTH RECORD

March 2022: $392.18 for $310 (+26%)
February 2022: $288.97 for $280 (+3%)
January 2022: $302.53 for $310 (-3%)
December 2021: $384.82 for $300 (+28%)
November 2021: $300.47 for $300 (Even)
October 2021: $311.40 for $310 (Even)
September 2021: $220.69 for $300 (-27%)
August 2021: $262.63 for $310 (-15%)
July 2021: $309.18 for $300 (+3%)
June 2021: $324.38 for $300 (+8%)

NOTE: June was the first full-month of the new-look Daily Mail, in which The Watchdog has a $10 daily spend.

*Please gamble responsibly

@WatchDogRacing@WatchDogRacing

@WatchDogRacing

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