St. Marys Panda has a strong record over 385m at Shepparton and The Watchdog is tipping her to break a run of outs this evening in a Grade 5 race.

Kraken Attila was victorious last start at Shepparton over 450m and is considered the main danger.

The scratching of Paddy’s Marvel has resulted in Studley – a winner last Monday night at Shepparton over 450m – assuming favouritism for a Mixed 4/5 450m event.

Promising chasers Bad Boy Vegas, Smart Rose and Axedale Pirate should provide a tight battle in a 385m Restricted Win final, while Windy Storm and impressive debut winner Flight Risk are both expected to secure wins.

Watch The Clock v Blackpool Bolt should be a top duel as well.

Today’s Racing

Warrnambool: 11:27am start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Traralgon: 2:13pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Ballarat: 2:59pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Shepparton: 6:48pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Today’s Drawcards

AXEDALE PIRATE

Trainer: Scott Melville
? Shepparton ? Race 5
? Box 8 ? 385m ⏱ 8:14pm

Claim to fame:
– 71% top-three from 21 starts
– Won 3 from 6 Trk/Dst

TAB fixed odds: $2.90

The Watchdog says: Yes

STUDLEY

Trainer: Lee Moore
? Shepparton ? Race 8
? Box 8 ? 450m ⏱ 9:23pm

Claim to fame:
– 67% top-three from 36 starts
– 25.12 PB Shepparton 450m

TAB fixed odds: $1.50

The Watchdog says: Yes

ST. MARYS PANDA

Trainer: Nicole Lummas
? Shepparton ? Race 10
? Box 6 ? 385m ⏱ 10:07pm

Claim to fame:
– 60% top-three from 25 starts
– 21.75 PB Shepparton 385m

TAB fixed odds: $2.10

The Watchdog says: Yes

? THE WATCHDOG’S $10 INVESTMENT ?
? Monday 24 January

? $3 Multi

First ?: Win – FLIGHT RISK
? Shepparton ? Race 7 ? Box 1 ? 450m ⏱ 9:05pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.60 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539999/race/7

Second ?: Win – WATCH THE CLOCK
? Shepparton ? Race 9 ? Box 1 ? 385m ⏱ 9:48pm
TAB fixed odds: $2.40 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539999/race/9

The Watchdog says ? : FLIGHT RISK (1) is a serious prospect and he will be carving out time. WATCH THE CLOCK (1) turned in a gutsy performance to triumph last Monday night and from the inside draw tonight, he should be able to hold the top at the first bend and score in easier fashion.

Multi price: $3.84

? $3 Multi

First ?: Win – FLIGHT RISK
? Shepparton ? Race 7 ? Box 1 ? 450m ⏱ 9:05pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.60 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539999/race/7

Second ?: Win – ST. MARYS PANDA
? Shepparton ? Race 10 ? Box 6 ? 385m ⏱ 10:07pm
TAB fixed odds: $2.10 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539999/race/10

The Watchdog says ? : As stated earlier, FLIGHT RISK (1) will be carving out time and should be scoring easily. ST. MARYS PANDA (6) goes well here and with the empty draw on her outside, she should get plenty of room early on and that will allow her to assume control as they head through the bend. With the ability to go sub 21.65sec, they will have a tough time reeling her in.

Multi price: $3.36

? $4 Win – STUDLEY

? Must Watch Race ?

Mixed Grade 4/5

? Shepparton ? Race 8
? Box 8 ? 450m ⏱ 9:23pm

TAB fixed odds: $1.50 Win

The Watchdog says ?: STUDLEY (8) returned to the winners list with a dashing 25.12sec victory here last Monday night and a similar performance this evening can see him score again.

‘Must Watch Race’ Preview ?:

The race has been hit by scratchings; however, we still get to see the classy STUDLEY (8) go to work. He has always raced well here, and he returned to his best with a dashing 25.12sec win here last Monday night. He had the inside draw on that occasion, however he is normally very reliable at box rise, so he should have no trouble crossing at the bend and getting the cash. RUN MACHINE (2) is another who has raced well here, and he looks the obvious danger. He was a sizzling 25.19sec Warrnambool winner in December and he is capable of leading or coming from off the pace.

Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539999/race/8

The Watchdog’s selections: 8 – 2 – 6 – 3

? RECENT $10 INVESTMENTS ?

Sunday 23 January: $0 (-100%)
Saturday 22 January: $9 (-10%)
Friday 21 January: $10.35 (+4%)
Thursday 20 January: $16.25 (+63%)
Wednesday 19 January: $0 (-100%)
Tuesday 18 January: $0 (-100%)
Monday 17 January: $6 (-40%)

Past 7 days: $41.60 for $70 invested (-41%)
Past 14 days: $112.81 for $140 invested (-19%)
Past 28 days: $286.80 for $280 invested (+2%)

? MONTH x MONTH RECORD

December 2021: $384.82 for $300 (+28%)
November 2021: $300.47 for $300 (Even)
October 2021: $311.40 for $310 (Even)
September 2021: $220.69 for $300 (-26%)
August 2021: $262.63 for $310 (-15%)
July 2021: $309.18 for $300 (+3%)
June 2021: $324.38 for $300 (+8%)

NOTE: June was the first full-month of the new-look Daily Mail, in which The Watchdog has a $10 daily spend.

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