A terrific race is expected at Shepparton tonight when multiple Group finalist Dream Wizard faces Group Listed winner Zipping Zarbo and well-performed chasers Mighty Marvin and Lalina.
Aston Flame – currently on a four-race winning streak – returns to Shepparton for the first time since claiming the G3 Northern Districts Cup.
Promising youngsters Barista Chick, Amazonian Queen and Teddy Logan are also in action.
Dale Code’s Predicted Market Firmer
ASTON PROFIT
TAB fixed odds at 9am: $2.30 Win
? Shepparton ? Race 3 ? Box 4 ⏱ 7:43pm
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539206/race/3
Today’s Drawcards
Trainer: Sean Lithgow
? Shepparton ? Race 8
? Box 3 ? 450m ⏱ 9:39pm
Claim to fame:
– Three-time Group 2 finalist
– 75% top-three from 67 starts
TAB fixed odds: $5.50
The Watchdog says: No
Trainer: Deborah Coleman
? Shepparton ? Race 8
? Box 7 ? 450m ⏱ 9:39pm
Claim to fame:
– 1st Listed Mount Gambier Cup
– Won 31 from 70
TAB fixed odds: $2.80
The Watchdog says: Yes
Trainer: Ian Garland
? Shepparton ? Race 9
? Box 8 ? 385m ⏱ 10:01pm
Claim to fame:
– 1st G3 Northern Districts Cup
– Won last 4 (11 of 20 overall)
TAB fixed odds: $1.65
The Watchdog says: Yes
? THE WATCHDOG’S $10 INVESTMENT ?
? Monday 22 November
? $4 Multi
First ?: Win – MAJOR BOMBER
? Warrnambool ? Race 1 ? Box 7 ? 450m ⏱ 11:32am
TAB fixed odds: $1.70 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539208/race/1
Second ?: Win – HUNCA MUNCA
? Warrnambool ? Race 7 ? Box 1 ? 450m ⏱ 1:17pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.40 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539208/race/7
Third ?: Win – BARISTA CHICK
? Shepparton ? Race 4 ? Box 6 ? 450m ⏱ 8:09pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.75 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539206/race/4
The Watchdog says ? : MAJOR BOMBER (7) was impressive here last time and should be winning with ease. HUNCA MUNCA (1) is an improving type and is drawn to make every post a winner. BARISTA CHICK (6) has recorded two blistering wins here to date and she is expected to lead throughout.
Multi price: $4.16
? $3 Win – ASTON PROFIT
? Shepparton ? Race 3 ? Box 4 ? 385m ⏱ 7:43pm
TAB fixed odds: $2.30 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539206/race/3
The Watchdog says ? : ASTON PROFIT (4) is a faultless beginner and she should have the pace to hold out SHE’S SO LOVABLE (8) at the bend. This is her ideal distance range, and she is expected to turn for home with a nice break and get the cash.
? $1 Win – SMOKIN’ GRILLE ? Lucky Longshot ?
? Shepparton ? Race 5 ? Box 6 ? 450m ⏱ 8:31pm
TAB fixed odds: $6 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539206/race/5
The Watchdog says ? : Tough draw but SMOKIN’ GRILLE (6) does have a V8 engine and with a clean getaway he can put himself into contention. One out, he is the fastest chaser in the event, so at that price he is worth a nibble.
? $2 Trifecta – 6,7 / 3,6,7 / 1,3,4,5,6,7 (12.50%)
? Must Watch Race ?
Mixed Grade 4/5
? Shepparton ? Race 8
? 450m ⏱ 9:39pm
The Watchdog says ?: LALINA (6) and ZIPPING ZARBO (7) are the two big guns and I expect one of them to get the cash. DREAM WIZARD (3) has been included for second and we have gone wide for third.
‘Must Watch Race’ Preview ?:
ZIPPING ZARBO (7) has been a tremendous chaser for some time now and she showed with her breathtaking 23.47sec Bendigo win that she is still at the peak of her powers. The sparingly raced LALINA (6) appears to be the obvious danger. She has a tremendous strike rate having won 14 of 26 (54 percent) and she recently returned to form with a dynamic 25.03sec Ballarat win. DREAM WIZARD (3) rounds out the ‘big three’. He is a prolific winner and he will be looking to make amends for his two luckless runs at Sandown Park of late.
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539206/race/8
The Watchdog’s selections: 7 – 6 – 3 – 5
? RECENT $10 INVESTMENTS ?
Sunday 21 November: $0 (-100%)
Saturday 20 November: $7.80 (-22%)
Friday 19 November: $9 (-10%)
Thursday 18 November: $16 (+60%)
Wednesday 17 November: $0 (-100%)
Tuesday 16 November: $6.30 (-37%)
Monday 15 November: $29.45 (+195%)
Past 7 days: $68.55 for $70 invested (-2%)
Past 14 days: $155.16 for $140 invested (+11%)
Past 28 days: $325.33 for $280 invested (+16%)
? MONTH x MONTH RECORD
October 2021: $311.40 for $310 (Even)
September 2021: $220.69 for $300 (-26%)
August 2021: $262.63 for $310 (-15%)
July 2021: $309.18 for $300 (+3%)
June 2021: $324.38 for $300 (+8%)
NOTE: June was the first full-month of the new-look Daily Mail, in which The Watchdog has a $10 daily spend.
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Form expert Dale Code has picked out a selection of runs that have caught the eye
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