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  • Friday, 08 Apr, 2022,
  • by @WatchDogRacing

Daily Mail: Boy, what a Ballarat Cup Final

Defending champion Ferdinand Boy faces Group winners including Hennessey and Robbie Rotten in a star-studded $50,000 to-the-winner G2 Ballarat Cup Final tonight.

Dual Group winners Barooga Smoke and Typhoon Sammy clash in the $10,000 winner-take-all Cup Night Match Race, while G3 winner Collinda Patty and two-time G1 champion Jarick Bale feature in a 660m Special Event.

Dale Code’s Predicted Market Firmer
HAZEY ROY
TAB fixed odds at 8:45am: $2.25 Win
? Healesville ? Race 8 ? Box 4 ⏱ 1:22pm
Form ?
https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/772241901/race/8

Today’s Racing

Healesville: 11:13am start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Bendigo: 3:12pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Warragul: 6:52pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Ballarat: 7:08pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Today’s Drawcards

ROBBIE ROTTEN

Trainer: Kayla Cottrell
? Ballarat ? Race 8
? Box 3 ? 450m 9:27pm

Claim to fame:
– 1st Group 2 Warragul Cup
– Won 15 from 36

TAB fixed odds: $3.40

The Watchdog says: No

FERDINAND BOY

Trainer: David Geall
? Ballarat ? Race 8
? Box 7 ? 450m 9:27pm

Claim to fame:
– Three-time Group 2 winner
– Won 40 from 75

TAB fixed odds: $4.20

The Watchdog says: Yes

TYPHOON SAMMY

Trainer: Jason Thompson
? Ballarat ? Race 9
? Box 3 ? 450m ⏱ 9:48pm

Claim to fame:
– Dual Group 2 winner
– Won 27 from 43

TAB fixed odds: $1.60

The Watchdog says: No

? THE WATCHDOG’S $10 INVESTMENT ?
? Friday 8 April

? $4 Multi


First
?: Win – ASTON PROFIT
? Ballarat ? Race 2 ? Box 2 ? 390m ⏱ 7:27pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.55 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/763380215/race/2


Second
?: Win – COLLINDA PATTY
? Ballarat ? Race 10 ? Box 1 ? 660m ⏱ 10:11pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.70 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/763380215/race/10


The Watchdog says
? : ASTON PROFIT (2) will appreciate the drop in class and should make every post a winner. COLLINDA PATTY (1) will have a great battle with JARICK BALE (4), and she should prove too strong in the closing stages.


Multi price:
$2.63

? $5 Win – BASMATI
? Ballarat? Race 3 ? Box 1 ? 450m ⏱ 7:49pm
TAB fixed odds: $2.50 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/763380215/race/3


The Watchdog says
? : Desperately unlucky when placed here on Monday and is drawn to make amends tonight. He has a wide runner drawn on his outside, so he will get plenty of cover early on and he should be able to zip away in the middle stages.

? $1 Exacta – 1,7 / 1,3,5,7 (16.66%)

? Must Watch Race ?

Group 2 Ballarat Cup Final

? Ballarat ? Race 8
? 450m ⏱ 9:27pm

The Watchdog says ?: Great race and I think either Group 3 Provincial Plate winner HENNESSEY (1) or three-time Group 2 country cup champion FERDINAND BOY (7) can hit the first turn in front and whoever can find the top should get the cash. Group 2 Warragul Cup winner ROBBIE ROTTEN (3) and Group 2 Shepparton Cup winner SUBSTANTIAL (5) are both very powerful and must be included for second.

‘Must Watch Race’ Preview ?:

It’s a shame that excitement machine MR. AUDACIOUS (4) has been scratched, but we are still left with an elite line-up and FERDINAND BOY (7) looks a great chance to go back to back. He has shown a return to his brilliant best in recent weeks and if he can reproduce his 6.45sec sectional from last Friday night, he should be right in the mix as they head into the bend. ROBBIE ROTTEN (3) was huge when second to MR. AUDACIOUS in his heat and he can dial up the pressure mid race. HENNESSEY (1) has a tremendous record here and from this draw and although one of the slower heat winners, he turned in one of the more impressive performances. He missed the kick and found some trouble before hitting the line hard to snatch victory in the shadows of the post. SUBSTANTIAL (5), COMPLIANCE (6) and DO IT (8) will all need some luck in running.

Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/763380215/race/8

The Watchdog’s selections: 7 – 1 – 5 – 3

? RECENT $10 INVESTMENTS ?

Thursday 7 April: $0 (-100%)
Wednesday 6 April: $0 (-100%)
Tuesday 5 April: $0 (-100%)
Monday 4 April: $0 (-100%)
Sunday 3 April: $15.93 (+59%)
Saturday 2 April: $12 (+20%)
Friday 1 April: $10.20 (+2%)

Past 7 days: $38.13 for $70 invested (-46%)
Past 14 days: $160.46 for $140 invested (+14%)
Past 28 days: $327.22 for $280 invested (+17%)

? MONTH x MONTH RECORD

March 2022: $392.18 for $310 (+26%)
February 2022: $288.97 for $280 (+3%)
January 2022: $302.53 for $310 (-3%)
December 2021: $384.82 for $300 (+28%)
November 2021: $300.47 for $300 (Even)
October 2021: $311.40 for $310 (Even)
September 2021: $220.69 for $300 (-27%)
August 2021: $262.63 for $310 (-15%)
July 2021: $309.18 for $300 (+3%)
June 2021: $324.38 for $300 (+8%)

NOTE: June was the first full-month of the new-look Daily Mail, in which The Watchdog has a $10 daily spend.

*Please gamble responsibly

@WatchDogRacing@WatchDogRacing

@WatchDogRacing

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