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  • Tuesday, 22 Mar, 2022,
  • by @WatchDogRacing

Daily Mail: Will he ‘decimate’ rivals at Warragul?

Listed Western Districts Derby placegetter Decimate is tipped to bolster his record to 12 wins from 23 starts in a Mixed 4/5 460m race at Warragul tonight, but he does face well-performed chasers headlined by Spring Scout.

One’s Obsession v G3 finalist Ha Ha Magoo v Disorientated should be a competitive 400m Free For All, while Allan Coe is looking to stay unbeaten after four starts in a Grade 5 400m event.

In-form chasers Invictus Benson (won his last two) and My Neo (won four of his last five) clash in a 460m Restricted Win final, while the gifted Paua Of Mindy stands out in a Grade 5 460m race.

Track specialist Duncan highlights the meeting at Healesville in a 300m Free For All, while Boes Rose v Rear View Mirror v Javi is a competitive 350m Free For All.

Today’s Racing

Healesville: 11:05am start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Geelong: 2:11pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Warrnambool: 3:19pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Warragul: 6:45pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Today’s Drawcards

DUNCAN

Trainer: Julie Grindley
? Healesville ? Race 5
? Box 4 ? 300m 12:13pm

Claim to fame:
– Won 19 from 43
– Won 12 from 21 Trk/Dst

TAB fixed odds: $1.65

The Watchdog says: Yes

MY NEO

Trainer: Robert Neocleous
? Warragul ? Race 8
? Box 8 ? 460m 9:05pm

Claim to fame:
– Won 4 of last 5
– 93% top-three from 14 starts

TAB fixed odds: $1.55

The Watchdog says: Yes

DECIMATE

Trainer: Jason Thompson
? Warragul ? Race 9
? Box 1 ? 460m ⏱ 9:25pm

Claim to fame:
– 3rd Western Districts Derby
– Won 11 from 22

TAB fixed odds: $1.50

The Watchdog says: Yes

? THE WATCHDOG’S $10 INVESTMENT ?
? Tuesday 22 March

? $4 Multi


First
?: Place – REAR VIEW MIRROR
? Healesville ? Race 4 ? Box 6 ? 350m ⏱ 11:58am
TAB fixed odds: $1.40 Place (Top two finish required)
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666540599/race/4


Second
?: Win – DUNCAN
? Healesville ? Race 5 ? Box 4 ? 300m ⏱ 12:13pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.65 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666540599/race/5


Third
?: Win – ASTON ILLUSION
? Healesville ? Race 10 ? Box 2 ? 350m ⏱ 1:54pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.50 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666540599/race/10


The Watchdog says
? : REAR VIEW MIRROR (6) goes well up the straight and with an ounce of luck, a top-two finish looks likely. DUNCAN (4) is a track specialist, and he should make light work of this line-up. ASTON ILLUSION (2) is showing plenty of potential and is expected to lead throughout.


Multi price:
$3.46

? $4 Multi


First
?: Place – TUOHY
? Warragul ? Race 4 ? Box 8 ? 460m ⏱ 7:45pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.35 Place (Top two finish required)
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666540602/race/4


Second
?: Place – RIPPLEBROOK RORY
? Warragul ? Race 7 ? Box 1 ? 400m ⏱ 8:45pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.65 Place
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666540602/race/7


Third
?: Win – PAUA OF MINDY
? Warragul ? Race 10 ? Box 1 ? 460m ⏱ 9:45pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.25 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666540602/race/10


The Watchdog says
? : TUOHY (8) is ideally drawn out wide and he should be in the top two throughout. RIPPLEBROOK RORY (1) excels around Warragul, and he will scrape the paint, so with an even getaway he should be able to hit the scoreboard. PAUA OF MINDY (1) has plenty on these and should be winning with ease.


Multi price:
$2.78

? $2 Trifecta – 1 / 5,8 / 5,7,8 (50%)

? Must Watch Race ?

Mixed Grade 4/5

? Warragul ? Race 9
? 460m ⏱ 9:25pm

The Watchdog says ?: DECIMATE (1) should assume control as they head into the bend, and he will prove too classy. MIGHTY PIE (8) can settle on the pace, and he looks likely for the quinella spot, however we have included NIHARI BALE (5). SPRING SCOUT (7) has been included for the minor end of the money as he is racing with confidence.

‘Must Watch Race’ Preview ?:

Western Districts Derby placegetter DECIMATE (1) has been taking on and beating some elite chasers in recent months and he heads to Warragul for a nice confidence booster tonight. His box manners aren’t great, but he does explode once balanced and with SAILOR’S GIRL (2) expected to clear him early, he should get every chance to get into the clear. He has won here previously in a sizzling 25.78sec and I think he is capable of going even faster, so with a clear passage early, a sub 25.60sec run could be on the cards. MIGHTY PIE (8) is showing promise and he is expected to keep the pressure on throughout, while SPRING SCOUT (7) is racing with confidence at present and if the favourite happens to make a mistake, he could cause an upset.

Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666540602/race/9

The Watchdog’s selections: 1 – 8 – 7 – 5

Today’s News

? RECENT $10 INVESTMENTS ?

Monday 21 March: $22.75 (+127%)
Sunday 20 March: $0 (-100%)
Saturday 19 March: $8.80 (-12%)
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Past 7 days: $42.75 for $70 invested (-39%)
Past 14 days: $126.55 for $140 invested (-10%)
Past 28 days: $289.72 for $280 invested (+3%)

? MONTH x MONTH RECORD

February 2022: $288.97 for $280 (+3%)
January 2022: $302.53 for $310 (-2%)
December 2021: $384.82 for $300 (+28%)
November 2021: $300.47 for $300 (Even)
October 2021: $311.40 for $310 (Even)
September 2021: $220.69 for $300 (-26%)
August 2021: $262.63 for $310 (-15%)
July 2021: $309.18 for $300 (+3%)
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NOTE: June was the first full-month of the new-look Daily Mail, in which The Watchdog has a $10 daily spend.

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