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  • Monday, 21 Mar, 2022,
  • by @WatchDogRacing

Daily Mail: ‘Class’ on display at Shepparton

G3 finalist Deadly Class – victorious in 29.88 seconds on debut at The Meadows – is expected to dominate a Mixed 6/7 450m heat at Shepparton tonight with promising chaser Aston Sebring scratched.

G3 winner Hennessey – triumphant in 20 of his 38 races – stands out in a Grade 5 450m race with Master Avenger and G3 winner Plaintiff both out, while last start Sandown Park winner Manila Dusk headlines a Grade 5 450m event.

G2 Horsham Cup finalist Crackerjack Keg faces the in-form Sinful Angel and Russian Sub in a 410m Free For All at Horsham this afternoon, while My Mate Tip, Aston Tango, Crackerjack Ads and Struck Gold are expected to prevail in their respective races at the meeting which starts in the morning.

Today’s Racing

Horsham: 11:38am start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Bendigo: 3:25pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Shepparton: 6:59pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Today’s Drawcards

CRACKERJACK KEG

Trainer: Patricia Smith
? Horsham ? Race 7
? Box 6 ? 410m 1:26pm

Claim to fame:
– Group 2 Horsham Cup finalist
– Won 6 from 16 Trk/Dst

TAB fixed odds: $3.70

The Watchdog says: No

ASTON TANGO

Trainer: Ben Magri
? Horsham ? Race 8
? Box 2 ? 485m 1:44pm

Claim to fame:
– Won 5 of last 10
– 68% top-three from 34 starts

TAB fixed odds: $1.25

The Watchdog says: Yes

HENNESSEY

Trainer: Ashlee Terry
? Shepparton ? Race 8
? Box 3 ? 450m ⏱ 9:36pm

Claim to fame:
– 1st Group 3 Provincial Plate
– Won 11 of last 14

TAB fixed odds: $1.25

The Watchdog says: Yes

? THE WATCHDOG’S $10 INVESTMENT ?
? Monday 21 March

? $5 Multi


First
?: Win – MY MATE TIP
? Horsham ? Race 6 ? Box 4 ? 485m ⏱ 1:09pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.80 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/762104167/race/6


Second
?: Win – ASTON TANGO
? Horsham ? Race 8 ? Box 2 ? 485m ⏱ 1:44pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.25 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/762104167/race/8


Third
?: Win – CRACKERJACK ADS
? Horsham ? Race 9 ? Box 8 ? 485m ⏱ 2:04pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.65 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/762104167/race/9


The Watchdog says
? : MY MATE TIP (4) will appreciate the smaller line-up and should prove too classy for his rivals. ASTON TANGO (2) has panels on these and will be winning comfortably. CRACKERJACK ADS (8) beat a similar line-up last Wednesday night, so he should repeat the dose.


Multi price:
$3.71

? $2 Place – BUSTER HARLEY

? Must Watch Race ?

Mixed Grade 6/7 Heat

? Shepparton ? Race 6
? Box 3 ? 450m ⏱ 8:53pm

TAB fixed odds: $2.10 Place (Top two finish required)

The Watchdog says ?: BUSTER HARLEY (3) can be frustrating to watch but I think Group 3 finalist DEADLY CLASS (8) should cross and he will be carving out time in front, so that should allow BUSTER HARLEY to chase hard and I think he can fill the quinella spot.

‘Must Watch Race’ Preview ?:

DEADLY CLASS (8) has only had the three starts, but he has scored two brilliant sub 30-second wins at The Meadows and he appears to be the real deal. In both wins he showed enough early speed to suggest that he will be highly competitive in provincial sprints, and he looks very well graded tonight. There is a fair bit of speed drawn inside but he should have enough pace to cross early and a sub 25.10sec run could be on the cards. BUSTER HARLEY (3) can be frustrating, but he has a huge motor, and he is capable of causing an upset. He will need a little room early, but he did record a smart 25.36sec when powering to the line in his win here in February. MY BOY CHARLOTT (2) is promising and must be respected.

Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666540596/race/6

The Watchdog’s selections: 8 – 3 – 2 – 6

? $3 Win – DUSTY COUNTRY
? Shepparton ? Race 11 ? Box 8 ? 385m ⏱ 10:41pm
TAB fixed odds: $2.60 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666540596/race/11


The Watchdog says
? : She is far better than her form reads and from the favourable draw, she should get every chance to return to the winners list. She can show early pace in her races, so she should navigate the bend in the top three and then prove too strong as they balance up and head for home.

? RECENT $10 INVESTMENTS ?

Sunday 20 March: $0 (-100%)
Saturday 19 March: $8.80 (-12%)
Friday 18 March: $11.20 (+12%)
Thursday 17 March: $0 (-100%)
Wednesday 16 March: $0 (-100%)
Tuesday 15 March: $0 (-100%)
Monday 14 March: $33.40 (+234%)

Past 7 days: $53.40 for $70 invested (-24%)
Past 14 days: $103.80 for $140 invested (-26%)
Past 28 days: $266.97 for $280 invested (-5%)

? MONTH x MONTH RECORD

February 2022: $288.97 for $280 (+3%)
January 2022: $302.53 for $310 (-2%)
December 2021: $384.82 for $300 (+28%)
November 2021: $300.47 for $300 (Even)
October 2021: $311.40 for $310 (Even)
September 2021: $220.69 for $300 (-26%)
August 2021: $262.63 for $310 (-15%)
July 2021: $309.18 for $300 (+3%)
June 2021: $324.38 for $300 (+8%)

NOTE: June was the first full-month of the new-look Daily Mail, in which The Watchdog has a $10 daily spend.

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