G3 Provincial Plate winner Hennessey is aiming to extend his seven-race win streak against quality performers Ultimate Avenger and Angus Rhode in tonight’s $7,000 to-the-winner Goldfields Cup final at Ballarat.

G3 Northern Districts Cup winner Aston Flame is also eyeing an eighth straight victory, while G3 Great Chase runner-up Hamillson is also in action at Ballarat.

At The Meadows this evening, dual G1 champion Qwara Bale and G1 Melbourne Cup runner-up Lala Kiwi clash, while two-time Group winner Barooga Smoke runs at the meeting as well.

Today’s Racing

Shepparton: 9:26am start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Ballarat: 5:42pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

The Meadows: 6:49pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Today’s Drawcards

ASTON FLAME

Trainer: Ian Garland
? Ballarat ? Race 4
? Box 8 ? 450m ⏱ 6:34pm

Claim to fame:
– 1st G3 Northern Districts Cup
– Won last 7 (14 from 23 overall)

TAB fixed odds: $1.35

The Watchdog says: Yes

BAROOGA SMOKE

Trainer: Brooke Ennis
? The Meadows ? Race 4
? Box 4 ? 525m ⏱ 7:48pm

Claim to fame:
– Dual Group 3 winner
– 74% top-two from 46 starts

TAB fixed odds: $1.60

The Watchdog says: Yes

LALA KIWI

Trainer: Andrea Dailly
? The Meadows ? Race 8
? Box 6 ? 525m ⏱ 9:08pm

Claim to fame:
– 2nd Group 1 Melbourne Cup
– 66% top-three from 38 starts

TAB fixed odds: $1.80

The Watchdog says: Yes

? THE WATCHDOG’S $10 INVESTMENT ?
? Saturday 11 December

? $4 Multi

First ?: Win – AFRO PUFF
? Shepparton ? Race 1 ? Box 5 ? 385m ⏱ 9:26am
TAB fixed odds: $1.80 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666540461/race/1

Second ?: Win – NOMAD ROAD
? Shepparton ? Race 2 ? Box 1 ? 385m ⏱ 9:43am
TAB fixed odds: $1.80 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666540461/race/2

The Watchdog says ? : AFRO PUFF (5) sizzled early on debut at Bendigo, and he will be on the pace from the outset. He should hit the line a lot better today and this race doesn’t have a lot of depth. NOMAD ROAD (1) comes up with the good draw and she is expected to hold a forward spot through the turn, and she will prove too strong in the run home.

Multi price: $3.24

? $4 Place – CABERNET GIRL
? Shepparton ? Race 6 ? Box 2 ? 450m ⏱ 10:45am
TAB fixed odds: $2.20 Place
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666540461/race/6

The Watchdog says ? : Her form isn’t great, but she has been doing most of her racing in town and she comes into this event nice and fresh. She is normally armed with slick early speed, so if she can settle in the top three, she should be able to stay there throughout.

? $2 Exacta – 1 / 2,3,5,8 (50%)

? Must Watch Race ?

Goldfields Cup Final

? Ballarat ? Race 6
? 450m ⏱ 7:22pm

The Watchdog says ?: ULTIMATE AVENGER (1) was brilliant last Saturday morning, and he is drawn to make every post a winner. HENNESSEY (4) is the second pick in the betting, however he is poorly drawn, so we have gone wide for second in the hope of securing some value.

‘Must Watch Race’ Preview ?:

Thrilling line-up and the Joe Borg-trained ULTIMATE AVENGER (1) holds the key. He managed to cross from box seven in his heat when carving out a blistering 25.04sec and a repeat of that can see him go close again. His kennelmate MASKED AVENGER (3) can come out running in his races and he will keep him honest. HENNESSEY (4) is the interesting runner. He’s won seven on the spin and he has been carving up the clock on the provincial circuit. The draw is a big concern tonight, so he will need to do everything right at box rise. ANGUS RHODE (2) is another star chaser and must be respected.

Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666540528/race/6

The Watchdog’s selections: 1 – 3 – 2 – 4

? RECENT $10 INVESTMENTS ?

Friday 10 December: $11.70 (+17%)
Thursday 9 December: $26.60 (+166%)
Wednesday 8 December: $18.43 (+84%)
Tuesday 7 December: $9.39 (-6%)
Monday 6 December: $10 (Even)
Sunday 5 December: $0 (-100%)
Saturday 4 December: $7.20 (-28%)

Past 7 days: $83.32 for $70 invested (+19%)
Past 14 days: $129.81 for $140 invested (-7%)
Past 28 days: $252 for $280 invested (-10%)

? MONTH x MONTH RECORD

November 2021: $300.47 for $300 (Even)
October 2021: $311.40 for $310 (Even)
September 2021: $220.69 for $300 (-26%)
August 2021: $262.63 for $310 (-15%)
July 2021: $309.18 for $300 (+3%)
June 2021: $324.38 for $300 (+8%)

NOTE: June was the first full-month of the new-look Daily Mail, in which The Watchdog has a $10 daily spend.

*Please gamble responsibly