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  • Thursday, 26 Aug, 2021,
  • by @WatchDogRacing

Daily Mail: Rebellious to claim Sandown revenge

Form expert The Watchdog is expecting rising star Rebellious to open his city account at Sandown Park on Thursday afternoon in the ‘Must Watch’ race of the day.

The latest star to emerge from the powerful Jason Thompson team, Rebellious (11 from 15 – 5 of past 7) created a huge impression in running near-records at a range of provincial venues before a narrow defeat at his ‘500’ debut at Sandown last Sunday.

Rebellious was upset by Invictus Jaxson (6 from 19 – 4 from 8 Trk/Dst) and today’s opposition also includes Peaky Pub (6 wins) and Yohan Bale (9 from 32).

Jason Thompson has another headline runner in the classy Immunity 17 from 25 – 4 from 8 Trk/Dst), which is engaged in a stellar clash against Jax Bale (7 wins Trk/Dst – 2 from 3 Box 1) and Keep It Black (10 from 32 – 4 from 5 Box 5).

Another emerging talent to keep an eye on is Sir Harley (3 from 8), which has caught the eye in runaway wins at his past 2 starts at Sale and Cranbourne.

The meeting will begin with a bang with the promising Eat My Dust (5 from 11 – 2 from 2 Box 1) meeting SA import Fly For Trix (19 from 33), winner of the G3 Brian Johnstone in his home state.

Among the highlights at Warragul, well-bred Revolution (3 from 4) looks set to continue the bright start to his career.

Group 1 Silver Chief winner Lakeview Walter (9 from 19) will return to action, not having been in action since running 4th in the G1 Harrison-Dawson in May, in what shapes as a great tussle with Soda Prince (9 from 26 – 3 from 5 Box 4).

At Warrnambool, Rocket Boy (27 from 53 – 5 of past 7) should continue on his winning way, while local legend Norm McCullagh has a great chance in Angus Rhode (8 from 21) and King Of Glory (7 from 16 – 2 from 3 Trk/Dst) will do battle with Masked Avenger (13 from 28).

Here’s an extensive analysis of today’s Must Watch Race, and be sure to scroll down further for ? The Watchdog’s $10 spend

? MUST-WATCH RACE: Accell Therapy Grade 5 Final

REBELLIOUS ? PEAKY PUB  ? YOHAN BALE ? INVICTUS JAXSON

? Sandown Park ? Race 9 ? 515m 5:44pm

 Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538505/race/9

The Watchdog says ?: He was beaten in his metro debut on Sunday but REBELLIOUS (3) was far from disgraced when finishing a close second in his heat. He didn’t begin well and after working hard to get to the lead he never really looked balanced in the run. With the experience under his belt, he should be able to balance up soon after box rise and I expect him to look more comfortable in the run and with a clear passage a sub 29.20sec run could be on the cards. LUCKY LANCE (2) was the surprise packet in the heats, he had always shown enormous potential in Queensland and after two luckless runs in Victoria he was able to show punters his true talent with a dazzling 29.52sec heat win. If he can avoid bother in the first 50m, he should be able to settle in the top three and run a big race. INVICTUS JAXSON (8) was the giant killer when beating tonight’s top elect in his heat. He has a tremendous record here and had he drawn inside, he would be a major player. However from the wide draw he may be posted at the first bend and he faces an uphill battle from there. YOHAN BALE (6) was desperately unlucky in his heat and if the favourite happens to miss the kick, he could be there to capitalise. He is armed with blistering pace soon after box rise, and he appears to be getting stronger with every run. PEAKY PUB (4) rounds out the chances. He has been placed in all five runs here and is as honest as they come. He should get a nice cart across from REBELLIOUS (3) in the initial stages and he can sneak into the placings again.

Selections:  3 – 2 – 6 – 4

? THE WATCHDOG’S $10 INVESTMENT ?
? Thursday 26 August

? $4 Multi

 

First ?: Bundle Bet – 1,7
? Sandown Park ? Race 1 ? Boxes 1 & 7 ? 515m ⏱ 2:57pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.64 (Any one of the two selections to win)
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538505/race/1


Second
?:
Win – REBELLIOUS
? Sandown Park ? Race 9 ? Box 3 ? 515m ⏱ 5:44pm     ***Must Watch Race***
TAB fixed odds: $1.45 Win
Form ?  https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538505/race/

 

Third ?: Bundle Bet – 1,4,5
? Sandown Park ? Race 11 ? Boxes 1,4 & 5 ? 515m ⏱ 6:30pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.64 (Any one of the three selections to win)
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538505/race/11

 

The Watchdog says ? : EAT MY DUST (1) is legit and I think he will win the first race, however FLY FOR TRIX (7) has the speed to cross early, so we have included him. REBELLIOUS (3) is a potential megastar and he should break the clock tonight. DO GOOD DAVLIN (4) is the best greyhound in race 11, however we have included two on speed runners in FUNAMBULIST (1) and VAYDA BALE (5).

Multi price: $3.21

? $4 Multi

 

First ?: Bundle Bet – 1,4,8
? Sandown Park ? Race 3 ? Boxes 1,4 & 8 ? 595m ⏱ 3:35pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.41 (Any one of the three selections to win)
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538505/race/3

 

Second ?: Bundle Bet – 2,3,4,5
? Sandown Park ? Race 5 ? Boxes 2,3,4 & 5 ? 595m ⏱ 4:22pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.34 (Any one of the four selections to win)
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538505/race/5

 

Third ?: Bundle Bet – 2,3,5,7,8
? Sandown Park ? Race 6 ? Boxes 2,3,5,7 & 8 ? 515m ⏱ 4:47pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.41 (Any one of the five selections to win)
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538505/race/6

 

Fourth ?: Bundle Bet – 1,2,4,5
? Sandown Park ? Race 10 ? Boxes 1,2,4 & 5 ? 515m ⏱ 6:08pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.21 (Any one of the four selections to win)
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538505/race/10

 

The Watchdog says ? : DARK ARROW (1) will appreciate the drop in class in race 3, but we have included on pace runners WEBLEC STORM (4) and VENUS LIGHT (8). RADEK BALE (1) is well under the odds in race 5, so we have taken him on and gone wide in that event. Very keen on CALL ME BUSTER (3) in race 6, but he can be hit or miss early, so we have taken a few extra runners as a saver. TRENDING ROOKIE (1) is drawn to show a return to form and looks the goods in race 10, however there are a few quick beginners and he will need some luck early, so we have taken a few other runners.

Multi price: $3.22

? $1 Win – KEEP IT BLACK
? $1 Win – HAZEY ROY 

? Sandown Park ? Race 8 ? Boxes 5 & 8 ? 515m ⏱ 5:24pm
TAB fixed odds: $9.50 Win (Keep It Black)
TAB fixed odds: $7 Win (Hazey Roy)
Form ?  https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538505/race/8

The Watchdog says ? : High class event and I think these two runners represent great value. Both are very reliable beginners and have the speed to cross and lead. There could be four in line at the bend and one of our selections may be able to steal a break mid race and that may be enough to score.

? RECENT $10 INVESTMENTS ?

Wednesday 25 August: $20.76 return (108%)
Tuesday 24 August: $0 return (-100%)
Monday 23 August: $9.60 return (-4%)
Sunday 22 August: $23.30 (133%)
Saturday 21 August: $8.40 (-16%)
Friday 20 August: $0 (-100%)
Thursday 19 August: $8.40 (-16%)

 

Past 7 days: $70.46 for $70 invested (1%)
Past 14 days: $120.92 for $140 Invested (-14%)
Past 28 days: $252.14 for $280 Invested (-10%)

 

? MONTH x MONTH RECORD

July 2021: $309.18 for $300 (+3%)
June 2021: $324.38 for $300 (+8%)

NOTE: June was the first full-month of the new-look Daily Mail, in which The Watchdog has a $10 daily spend.

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@WatchDogRacing@WatchDogRacing

@WatchDogRacing

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