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  • Monday, 16 May, 2022,
  • by @WatchDogRacing

Daily Mail: ‘Hennessey’ headlines Shepparton

G3 winner Hennessey is expected to record his 23rd victory from 45 starts at Shepparton tonight.

Clips v Tea Pot Creek v Gladiator Hulk and Lembor v Zipping Valerie v All Inn Jasper v Market Legend should be open events.

Promising chasers Elite Tommy, Aston Suzette and Aston Carey are all tipped to prevail in their respective races.

Dale Code’s Predicted Market Firmer
FLYING ROYSE
TAB fixed odds at 9:30am: $2.50 Win
? Traralgon ? Race 1 ? Box 2 ⏱ 2:37pm
Form ?
https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538582/race/1

Today’s Racing

Warrnambool: ABANDONED

Traralgon: 2:37pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Ballarat: 2:42pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Shepparton: 7:00pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Today’s Drawcards

HENNESSEY

Trainer: Ashlee Terry
? Shepparton ? Race 8
? Box 8 ? 450m 9:26pm

Claim to fame:
– 1st Group 3 Provincial Plate
– Won 22 from 44

TAB fixed odds: $1.30

The Watchdog says: Yes

ALL INN JASPER

Trainer: Tony Duncan
? Shepparton ? Race 9
? Box 5 ? 385m 9:48pm

Claim to fame:
– Won 4 of last 7
– 21.72 PB Shepparton 385m

TAB fixed odds: $2

The Watchdog says: Yes

ASTON CAREY

Trainer: Paul Abela
? Shepparton ? Race 10
? Box 5 ? 385m ⏱ 10:07pm

Claim to fame:
– Won 5 from 9
– Won 2 from 2 Trk/Dst

TAB fixed odds: $1.90

The Watchdog says: Yes

? THE WATCHDOG’S $10 INVESTMENT ?
? Monday 16 May

? $4 Win – SCUFFY
? Ballarat ? Race 8 ? Box 5 ? 545m ⏱ 5:04pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.90 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538580/race/8


The Watchdog says
? : SCUFFY (5) has been racing well in much stronger company of late and with a sizzling 30.77sec PB here, he is expected to make light work of this line-up. There is very little pace drawn on either side, so he should be able to assume control quickly and then put a space in them in the middle stages.

? $4 Win – HERE COMES LENNY
? Shepparton ? Race 5 ? Box 1 ? 450m ⏱ 8:24pm
TAB fixed odds: $3 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538581/race/5


The Watchdog says
? : HERE COMES LENNY (1) has only had the four starts, but he has won two in impressive style, and he is drawn to get all the breaks. He is armed with terrific pace soon after box rise, so from the favourable draw, he should hold the top and with the ability to carve out around 25.30sec, they will have their work cut out trying to reel him in.

? $1 Trifecta – 8 / 2 / 1,3,4,6 (25%)

? $1 Trifecta – 8 / 1,3,4,6 / 2 (25%)

? Must Watch Race ?

Mixed Grade 4/5

? Shepparton ? Race 8
? 450m ⏱ 9:26pm

The Watchdog says ?: Group 3 Provincial Plate winner HENNESSEY (8) – a finalist in two Group 2 country cups as well – should be winning with ease in this class, while the powerful ERTUGRUL BEY (2) can run home into second or third spot.

‘Must Watch Race’ Preview ?:

HENNESSEY (8) is one of the best provincial sprinters and he is expected to return to the winners list tonight. He has won here previously in a breathtaking 24.81sec and he looks very well graded. There isn’t a lot of genuine pace drawn directly underneath, so a clean getaway should see him cross at the bend and zip away as they turn for home. RAICHU (1) rises in class tonight, but he has come up with the inside draw and he beat a handy line-up at Ballarat last time, so with an even getaway, he can hold a top three spot initially and then hit the scoreboard. ERTUGRUL BEY (2) would have preferred a wider draw,  but he is a powerful type, and he has turned in some tremendous performances of late.

Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538581/race/8

The Watchdog’s selections: 8 – 1 – 4 – 2

? RECENT $10 INVESTMENTS ?

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Thursday 12 May: $0 (-100%)
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Tuesday 10 May: $12.20 (+22%)
Monday 9 May: $0 (-100%)

Past 7 days: $57.62 for $70 invested (-18%)
Past 14 days: $124.39 for $140 invested (-11%)
Past 28 days: $296.12 for $280 invested (+6%)

? MONTH x MONTH RECORD

April 2022: $307.92 for $300 (+3%)
March 2022: $392.18 for $310 (+26%)
February 2022: $288.97 for $280 (+3%)
January 2022: $302.53 for $310 (-3%)
December 2021: $384.82 for $300 (+28%)
November 2021: $300.47 for $300 (Even)
October 2021: $311.40 for $310 (Even)
September 2021: $220.69 for $300 (-27%)
August 2021: $262.63 for $310 (-15%)
July 2021: $309.18 for $300 (+3%)
June 2021: $324.38 for $300 (+8%)

NOTE: June was the first full-month of the new-look Daily Mail, in which The Watchdog has a $10 daily spend.

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