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Daily Mail: Melbourne Cup winner returns

G1 Melbourne Cup champion Koblenz – racing for the first time since December 27 – faces Listed Australian Sprint winner Nikoli Bale and Horsham 485m track record holder Soda Titan in a Mixed 3/4 450m race at Shepparton tonight.

G3 runner-up Aston Merit and the promising Mr. Audacious headline a Grade 5 450m race, while G1 finalists Fernando’s Quest and Xavien Bale are also in action.

Dale Code’s Predicted Market Firmer
TAB fixed odds at 9am: $2.90 Win
πŸ“ Shepparton 🏁 Race 12 πŸ”² Box 5 ⏱ 10:55pm
Form πŸ‘‰

Today’s Racing

Ballarat: 11:40am start
FormΒ Β Β Β  TipsΒ Β Β Β  Key stats

Warrnambool: 3:04pm start
FormΒ Β Β Β  TipsΒ Β Β Β  Key stats

Shepparton: 6:44pm start
FormΒ Β Β Β  TipsΒ Β Β Β  Key stats

Today’s Drawcards


Trainer: David Geall
πŸ“ Shepparton 🏁 Race 4
πŸ”² Box 5 πŸ“ 450m ⏱ 7:51pm

Claim to fame:
– 1st Group 1 Melbourne Cup
– Won 26 from 41

TAB fixed odds: $1.80

The Watchdog says: Yes


Trainer: Jessica Sharp
πŸ“ Shepparton 🏁 Race 6
πŸ”² Box 1 πŸ“ 450m ⏱ 8:43pm

Claim to fame:
– 2nd Group 3 Country Champ
– Won 8 from 16

TAB fixed odds: $3.70

The Watchdog says: Yes


Trainer: Michelle Mallia
πŸ“ Shepparton 🏁 Race 8
πŸ”² Box 8 πŸ“ 650m ⏱ 9:32pm

Claim to fame:
– Group 1 Super Stayers finalist
– Won 4 of last 8

TAB fixed odds: $2.50

The Watchdog says: Yes

πŸ“… Monday 7 March

πŸ’° $5 Multi

πŸ“ Shepparton 🏁 Race 1 πŸ”² Box 8 πŸ“ 450m ⏱ 6:44pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.45 Win
Form πŸ‘‰

🦡: Place – JODIE’S BOY
πŸ“ Shepparton 🏁 Race 5 πŸ”² Box 7 πŸ“ 450m ⏱ 8:15pm
TAB fixed odds: $3.10 Place (Top two finish required)
Form πŸ‘‰

The Watchdog says
🎀 : ASTON SEBRING (8) was a tad unlucky on debut and he should find this event a lot easier. JODIE’S BOY (7) is never far away here, and he likes to scout wide in his races, so from the good draw, there should be no excuses tonight.

Multi price:

πŸ’°Β $2 Trifecta – 5 / 1,8 / 1,8 (100%)

πŸ‘€ Must Watch Race πŸ‘€

Mixed Grade 3/4

πŸ“ Shepparton 🏁 Race 4
πŸ“ 450m ⏱ 7:51pm

The Watchdog says 🎀: Group 1 Melbourne Cup champion KOBLENZ (5) should be primed for this assignment, and he is expected to lead throughout. NIKOLI BALE (1) and SODA TITAN (8) are the obvious two to fill the minor money.

‘Must Watch Race’ Preview 🎀:

KOBLENZ (5) makes his much-anticipated return to the track, and it won’t be a walk in the park. He hasn’t raced since late December; however, he should be primed for this event and if at peak fitness, a sub 24.90sec run could be on the cards. Horsham 485m track record holder SODA TITAN (8) looks suitably drawn out wide and he has broken the magical 25-second barrier here previously, so if the favourite happens to make a mistake at box rise, he should be there to capitalise. Explosive speedster NIKOLI BALE (1) is capable of causing an upset if he can begin well from the red draw.

Form πŸ‘‰

The Watchdog’s selections:Β 5 – 8 – 1 – 4

πŸ’° $3 Win – ASTON MERIT
πŸ“ Shepparton 🏁 Race 6 πŸ”² Box 1 πŸ“ 450m ⏱ 8:43pm
TAB fixed odds: $3.70 Win
Form πŸ‘‰

The Watchdog says
🎀 : He meets a brilliant line-up tonight; however, he is armed with an elite turn of foot and from the good draw, he should be able to hold a forward spot early on. He will have to be at his best to score but I think he can get down to around the 25-second mark and that should be enough to score.


Sunday 6 March: $0 (-100%)
Saturday 5 March: $34.27 (+243%)
Friday 4 March: $10 (Even)
Thursday 3 March: $10.75 (+8%)
Wednesday 2 March: $17.20 (+72%)
Tuesday 1 March: $11.52 (+15%)
Monday 28 February: $10.50 (+5%)

Past 7 days: $94.24 for $70 invested (+35%)
Past 14 days: $163.17 for $140 invested (+17%)
Past 28 days: $327.52 for $280 invested (+17%)


February 2022: $288.97 for $280 (+3%)
January 2022: $302.53 for $310 (-2%)
December 2021: $384.82 for $300 (+28%)
November 2021: $300.47 for $300 (Even)
October 2021: $311.40 for $310 (Even)
September 2021: $220.69 for $300 (-26%)
August 2021: $262.63 for $310 (-15%)
July 2021: $309.18 for $300 (+3%)
June 2021: $324.38 for $300 (+8%)

NOTE: June was the first full-month of the new-look Daily Mail, in which The Watchdog has a $10 daily spend.

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