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  • Monday, 21 Feb, 2022,
  • by @WatchDogRacing

Daily Mail: ‘Paddy’ set to marvel at Shepparton

Paddy’s Marvel is strongly fancied to stretch his winning streak to seven races in a heat of the G3 Country Championship at Shepparton tonight.

G3 Northern Districts Cup runner-up My Name’s Stacey and Presidents Cup finalist Aston Ziebell are considered the biggest threats to Paddy’s Marvel.

Aston Flame – victorious in the G3 Northern Districts Cup final and the Shepparton 385m track record holder – is the standout chaser in the other G3 Country Championship heat.

G2 Bendigo Cup winner and Warragul 400m track record holder Paua Of Buddy is expected to prevail in a Mixed 4/5 450m race.

Promising greyhounds Jungle Panther, Windy Storm and second reserve Compton Redeemer clash in a 450m Restricted Win final.

Today’s Racing

Warrnambool: 11:47am start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Traralgon: 2:04pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Ballarat: 3:47pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Shepparton: 6:39pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Today’s Drawcards

ASTON FLAME

Trainer: Ian Garland
? Shepparton ? Race 6
? Box 6 ? 450m 8:28pm

Claim to fame:
– 1st G3 Northern Districts Cup
– 21.30 TR Shepparton 385m

TAB fixed odds: $1.70

The Watchdog says: Yes

PADDY’S MARVEL

Trainer: Mark Morrissey
? Shepparton ? Race 7
? Box 4 ? 450m ⏱ 8:46pm

Claim to fame:
– Won last 6 (21 of 35 overall)
– 25.03 PB Shepparton 450m

TAB fixed odds: $1.90

The Watchdog says: Yes

PAUA OF BUDDY

Trainer: Steve White
? Shepparton ? Race 8
? Box 5 ? 450m 9:01pm

Claim to fame:
– 1st Group 2 Bendigo Cup
– Won 9 from 13

TAB fixed odds: $1.28

The Watchdog says: Yes

? THE WATCHDOG’S $10 INVESTMENT ?
? Monday 21 February

? $7 Multi

 

First ?: Win – ASTON FLAME
? Shepparton ? Race 6 ? Box 6 ? 450m ⏱ 8:28pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.70 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666542493/race/6


Second
?: Win – PAUA OF BUDDY
? Shepparton ? Race 8 ? Box 5 ? 450m ⏱ 9:01pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.28 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666542493/race/8


Third
?: Place – MS. MIGHTY MOUSE
? Shepparton ? Race 9 ? Box 2 ? 450m ⏱ 9:19pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.28 Place (Top two finish required)
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666542493/race/9


The Watchdog says
? : ASTON FLAME (6) is absolutely faultless, and she should be leading throughout. PAUA OF BUDDY (5) was enormous at Warragul, and he should make light work of his rivals. MS. MIGHTY MOUSE (2) is an exciting prospect, and she should match motors with ASTON KOMUNI (1) for most of the journey.


Multi price:
$2.78

? $3 Place – RUN MACHINE

? Must Watch Race ?

Eighth heat of Group 3 Country Championship

? Shepparton ? Race 7
? Box 1 ? 450m ⏱ 8:46pm

TAB fixed odds: $2.80 Place

The Watchdog says ?: I didn’t have RUN MACHINE (1) in my top four as I think there are better winning chances, however from the good draw he definitely represents place value. He has turned in some great performances of late and he is quite versatile, so if he can avoid early bother, he should be able to hit the scoreboard.

‘Must Watch Race’ Preview ?:

Prolific winner PADDY’S MARVEL (4) comes into this having won six on the spin, all in brilliant times. There is a bit of early pace with WHISKEY ROAD (2) and WHITE SURPRISE (3), however if he can step on terms, he should have enough pace to cross early. MY NAME’S STACEY (7) is one of the main dangers and she showed she is back to her best with a scorching 26.99 Horsham win. She may have to work hard in the early stages, however if she can reproduce her 6.47sec first section from Horsham, that will see her figure prominently. ASTON ZIEBELL (8) is the run-on type in the event and he appears poised to get all the breaks. He has turned in some tremendous performances at Horsham of late and with the abundance of early pace in this event, he should get a nice sit early and be there to strike.

Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666542493/race/7

The Watchdog’s selections: 4 – 7 – 8 – 2

? RECENT $10 INVESTMENTS ?

Sunday 20 February: $9.20 (-8%)
Saturday 19 February: $0 (-100%)
Friday 18 February: $0 (-100%)
Thursday 17 February: $8 (-20%)
Wednesday 16 February: $27 (+170%)
Tuesday 15 February: $0 (-100%)
Monday 14 February: $13.20 (+32%)

Past 7 days: $57.40 for $70 invested (-18%)
Past 14 days: $164.35 for $140 invested (+17%)
Past 28 days: $327.56 for $280 invested (+17%)

? MONTH x MONTH RECORD

January 2022: $302.53 for $310 (-2%)
December 2021: $384.82 for $300 (+28%)
November 2021: $300.47 for $300 (Even)
October 2021: $311.40 for $310 (Even)
September 2021: $220.69 for $300 (-26%)
August 2021: $262.63 for $310 (-15%)
July 2021: $309.18 for $300 (+3%)
June 2021: $324.38 for $300 (+8%)

NOTE: June was the first full-month of the new-look Daily Mail, in which The Watchdog has a $10 daily spend.

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