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  • Wednesday, 29 Dec, 2021,
  • by @WatchDogRacing

Daily Mail: Sale Cup champion at Warrnambool

Fresh off his G1 Sale Cup success on Sunday night, Jarick Bale faces Stay Strong and G3 Sir John Dillon Memorial winner Graclyn Bale in tonight’s Seaside Distance Challenge final at Warrnambool.

After finishing second to It’s Only Money in a heat of the G1 Silver Chief, G1 Melbourne Cup placegetter Kinson Bale returns to The Meadows.

Kinson Bale is up against G2 Ballarat Cup runner-up Special Talent, while King Of Calypso is aiming to extend his winning streak to four races.

Dale Code’s Predicted Market Firmer
HAD HIS TIME
TAB fixed odds at 9am: $5.50 Win
? Cranbourne ? Race 1 ? Box 5 ⏱ 6:47pm
Form ?
https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666540516/race/1

Today’s Racing

The Meadows: 11:29am start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Bendigo: 3:14pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Warrnambool: 6:42pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Cranbourne: 6:47pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Today’s Drawcards

KINSON BALE

Trainer: Samantha Grenfell
? The Meadows ? Race 5
? Box 1 ? 525m ⏱ 12:39pm

Claim to fame:
– 3rd Group 1 Melbourne Cup
– 68% top-three from 47 starts

TAB fixed odds: $1.90

The Watchdog says: Yes

KING OF CALYPSO

Trainer: Tim Britton
? The Meadows ? Race 8
? Box 4 ? 600m 1:43pm

Claim to fame:
– Won last 3 (4 of last 5)
– 69% top-three last 16 starts

TAB fixed odds: $1.50

The Watchdog says: Yes

JARICK BALE

Trainer: Mark Delbridge
? Warrnambool ? Race 8
? Box 7 ? 650m 8:58pm

Claim to fame:
– 1st Group 1 Sale Cup
– 70% top-three from 51 starts

TAB fixed odds: $1.65

The Watchdog says: No

? THE WATCHDOG’S $10 INVESTMENT ?
? Wednesday 29 December

? $3 Multi


First
?:
Place – GINTOKI BALE
? The Meadows ? Race 8 ? Box 1 ? 600m ⏱ 1:43pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.90 Place (Top two finish required)
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666540514/race/8


Second
?: Win – BLAZING TIMES
? The Meadows ? Race 11 ? Box 8 ? 525m ⏱ 2:53pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.75 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666540514/race/11


Third
?: Place – MOTH ROCKS
? The Meadows ? Race 12 ? Box 2 ? 525m ⏱ 3:17pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.28 Place (Top two finish required)
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666540514/race/12


The Watchdog says
? : GINTOKI BALE (1) has the good draw, and he is never far away in this company. If he can step on terms, he should be in the top two from the outset. BLAZING TIMES (8) is a powerful type, and he finds himself in a race with a number of runners who are suspect over this journey. If he can avoid bother at the bend, he should run over the top late. MOTH ROCKS (2) should lead easily, and he is getting stronger with every run, so a top-two finish looks likely.


Multi price:
$4.25

? $5 Win – ALFIE ALLIGATOR
? Warrnambool ? Race 7 ? Box 1 ? 450m ⏱ 8:38pm
TAB fixed odds: $2.20 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666540530/race/7


The Watchdog says
? : He is armed with blistering pace soon after box rise and his box manners are quite good, so from the favourable draw, he should have no trouble holding the lead and they will have to go sub 25.10sec to reel him in.

? $2 Win – STAY STRONG

? Must Watch Race ?

Seaside Distance Challenge Final

? Warrnambool ? Race 8
? Box 1 ? 650m ⏱ 8:58pm

TAB fixed odds: $5.50 Win

The Watchdog says ?: JARICK BALE (7) is the one to beat, however STAY STRONG (1) looks drawn to get every chance. I’m expecting her to hold the early lead and if she can zip away mid race, she may steal the race.

‘Must Watch Race’ Preview ?:

JARICK BALE (7) landed his maiden Group 1 victory in the Sale Cup final and he backs up quickly in this feature event. He overcame the difficult draw on Sunday night, however, tonight there is a shorter run to the bend, so he can’t afford to make too many mistakes. STAY STRONG (1) is drawn to hold the top early and has turned in some great performances of late. She is getting stronger all the time and if she can steal a break mid race, she may get the cash. GRACLYN BALE (2) was brilliant when narrowly beaten in the Cup Night match race at Sale and she is expected to give a great sight again this evening.

Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666540530/race/8

The Watchdog’s selections: 1 – 2 – 6 – 7

? RECENT $10 INVESTMENTS ?

Tuesday 28 December: $26.30 (+163%)
Monday 27 December: $13 (+30%)
Sunday 26 December: $8.40 (-16%)
Friday 24 December: $8.10 (-19%)
Thursday 23 December: $9.10 (-9%)
Wednesday 22 December: $10.60 (+6%)
Tuesday 21 December: $0 (-100%)

Past 7 days: $75.50 for $60 invested (+26%)
Past 14 days: $147.45 for $130 invested (+13%)
Past 28 days: $321.83 for $270 invested (+19%)

? MONTH x MONTH RECORD

November 2021: $300.47 for $300 (Even)
October 2021: $311.40 for $310 (Even)
September 2021: $220.69 for $300 (-26%)
August 2021: $262.63 for $310 (-15%)
July 2021: $309.18 for $300 (+3%)
June 2021: $324.38 for $300 (+8%)

NOTE: June was the first full-month of the new-look Daily Mail, in which The Watchdog has a $10 daily spend.

*Please gamble responsibly

@WatchDogRacing@WatchDogRacing

@WatchDogRacing

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