The Watchdog is confident that G1 finalist Hill Top Jack (15 from 39) will be victorious in today’s hotly-contested $12,000 to-the-winner Grade 5 600m final at The Meadows.
Group finalists Aston Lavinia and Riccarton Rick (won last 2), plus Invictus Rising (11 from 27), are considered the main threats to Hill Top Jack according to The Watchdog.
Daph’s Zac v Tiberia Bale (2 from 5 Box 3) v Westar Aileen v Kasemi (3 of last 7) should be an even affair along with Group finalists Knicks Bale (3 of last 6) v Fernando Frank (3 of last 4 – 34.22sec PB) v I’m Easy Boys v the well-performed King Of Calypso.
The Mixed 3/4 525m race featuring last start winner Providence Bale, G3 runner-up Enter The Son (11 from 25 – 4 from 5 Trk/Dst), last month $77.70 winner Javi, G3 finalist Lala Ivory and Time For Peace (2 of last 3 – 29.69sec PB) promises to be a stirring battle.
Earlier on the card, youngster Nike Apache (2 from 5) is set to impress, while Western Blazer (3 from 8) v Weblec Raider should provide a strong duel.
At Sale this evening, G1 finalist Persian Goddess (14 from 36 – 3 from 6 Trk/Dst) and Dr. Slats (3 from 7 – 24.59sec PB) are set to produce a terrific clash in a Grade 5 440m heat.
Mac Rooster v Rasputin (3 from 7 – 2 from 2 Box 2) v Pink Diamond Champion Short Course (425m) runner-up Dr. Knuckles (3 of last 6) is another great battle, while Back Moo Moo is aiming to stretch her winning streak to four races since relocating to Victoria.
The Watchdog believes that Dewana Milo and former Tasmanian greyhound My Bro Joe will both prevail in their respective races at Healesville.
Here’s an extensive analysis of today’s Must Watch Race, and be sure to scroll down further for ? The Watchdog’s $10 spend…
? MUST-WATCH RACE: Top Cat Video Grade 5 Final
HILL TOP JACK ? RICCARTON RICK ? INVICTUS RISING
? The Meadows ? Race 5 ? 600m ⏱ 4:34pm
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539059/race/5
The Watchdog says ?: Great line-up and the airborne INIVICTUS RISING (8) appears to be the drawcard. He has always been an exciting chaser; however, he has gone to another level in recent months and his two runs over this distance range have been enormous. He is likely to start favourite again today, however I think he is a big risk. He has been beginning well of late but with an even spread of pace drawn inside, he is likely to be wide through the bend and will be giving some highly talented chasers a decent head start. HILL TOP JACK (2) is a tremendous talent, and he appears to be best served by the box draw. ASTON LAVINIA (1) is expected to fire through and hold the early lead and that should allow ‘Jack’ to follow her through and settle on her heels. The middle stages are where he does his best work and with a clear passage, he should be able to break up the field and he looks to be a great investment today. RICCARTON RICK (5) is another of the ‘big guns’ and he needs to be respected, however like the favourite, he appears to be poorly drawn. He speared the lids and went through the first marker in a sizzling 9.02sec, however I cannot see him repeating that and he may find himself buried back in traffic as they go past the post the first time. THUNDER TEARS (4) is the value runner. He has turned in some handy performances of late and if he can push through into a top three position early, he will be strong in the run home and may cause an upset.
Selections: 2 – 4 – 1 – 8