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  • Monday, 16 Aug, 2021,
  • by @WatchDogRacing

Daily Mail: ‘Aussie’ holds no ‘Secrets’

Make no secret… The clash of Smart As Jack (18 from 46) v Aussie Secret (25 from 49) v Fly For Trix (19 from 32) at Shepparton tonight will be a humdinger!

Top trainer Jason Thompson’s juggernaut should continue as Aussie Secret (6 of past 8) has more than a touch of class, having won the Pink Diamond Short Course and contested the G1 Silver Chief. He’s also reached two G2 country cups finals.

But he won’t want to put a paw wrong as Smart As Jack was a Pink Diamond Champion Sprinter finalist (won by Shima Shine), and a G3 Northern Districts Cup finalist here late last year. He was also recently runner-up in the Victorian Straight Track Championship.

And let’s not forget Fly For Trix who is a G3 winner in SA.

The distance matchup between G3 Lizrene Speed Star winner Five Star (9 from 31 – 3 from 3 Box 4) v rising stayer Major Sacrifice (7 from 23 – 4 of past 5) should also be first-rate.

And the magical Monday night fixture also features ultra-promising speedsters Paua of Mindy (3 from 9 + 5 x 2nds), Street Riot (5 from 10 – 2 from 2 Trk/Dst) and Fantastic Raven (11 from 28 – 3 of past 4).

Meanwhile, its sunup today for beautifully bred debutante Sienna Sunrise (22 months) at Cranbourne. She’s a younger half-sister of G1 Melbourne Cup hero, Hard Style Rico.

Here’s an extensive analysis of today’s Must Watch Race, and be sure to scroll down further for ? The Watchdog’s $10 spend

? MUST-WATCH RACE: Become A Member RRGC Mixed 3/4

SMART AS JACK ? AUSSIE SECRET ? FLY FOR TRIX

? Shepparton ? Race 8 ? 450m 9:15pm

Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538469/race/8

The Watchdog says ?: AUSSIE SECRET (4) has continued to the next level and looks poised to score again. He’s won a ridiculous 25 of 49 (51%) and is the reigning Pink Diamond Short Course champion. This event features a few handy types, but if he steps on terms, he should pounce on the early lead and will be carving out serious time on the arm. SMART AS JACK (1) has come up with the right draw and appears the obvious danger. He’ll need to be at his best to go with the favourite but has won five of 11 here and if he can reproduce a sizzling 25.06sec PB run, he won’t be too far away as they reach the line. FLY FOR TRIX (7) has been luckless since his scorching 25.64sec Warragul win and will be looking to make amends. He has a tremendous record from wide draws but would have been better suited drawn on the inside of the top elect. JODIE’S BOY (8) may add some value to your exotic bets. He’s always done his best racing and likes to scout wide in his races. So, with some luck at the bend, he can sneak home into some minor money.

Selections:  4 – 1 – 8 – 7

? THE WATCHDOG’S $10 INVESTMENT ?
? Monday 16 August

? $3 Win – KEYBOW SALLY
? Warrnambool ? Race 6 ? Box 1 ? 450m ⏱ 12:49pm
TAB fixed odds: $2.60 Win
Form
?  https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538471/race/6

The Watchdog says ? : CYPRESS BALE (7) finished in front of her KEYBOW SALLY last week. But she missed the kick and ‘Cypress’ speared the lids. I’m expecting ‘Sally’ to begin a lot better and she should be able to hold the top through the first corner and is very hard to get past when in front. She loves racing around this circuit, and this really does look to be her race.

? $2 Multi

 

First ?: Win – KANGA LIGHTS
? Warrnambool ? Race 10 ? Box 1 ? 390m ⏱ 2:04pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.85 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538471/race/10

 

Second ?: Place – UPRISE
? Warrnambool ? Race 12 ? Box 6 ? 390m ⏱ 2:39pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.50 Place (Top two finish required)
Form
?  https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538471/race/12

 

Third ?: Place – SEAMER
? Cranbourne ? Race 6 ? Box 8 ? 520m ⏱ 4:04pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.45 Place (Top two finish required)
Form
?  https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/680762811/race/6

 

The Watchdog says ? : KANGA LIGHTS (1) is a bit of a ‘box one bandit’ and is expected to lead throughout, while UPRISE (6) should get a nice cart across in the initial stages and looks very well graded. SEAMER (8) showed dramatic improvement to score here last time and a top two finish looks likely again.


Multi price:
$4.02

? $2 Quaddie – 8.33% (24 combinations)
? Ballarat? Races 5 – 8 ⏱ 3:57pm            ***Includes Must Watch Race***
Form ?  https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538468/race/5

?: 1,5
? ?: 3,4
? ? ?: 2,5
? ? ? ?: 4,6,8

The Watchdog says ? : RED MAHOGANY (1) should hold the top in the first leg. But TIGER BLURTON (5) is a strong type, so we’ve taken both runners. TOYED (3) and TIG (4) should control the second leg, while WENT FOR SWIM (2) looks the goods in the third leg. However, we’ve included the speedy BLACKPOOL STORM (5) as a bit of a saver. DOUBLE TACTIC (4) was huge last week, and I think he’ll take a power of beating in the last leg. But we’ve included on-speed runners MAELYNN BALE (6) and INGA MIA (8) just in case he finds too much early bother.

? $3 Multi

 

First ?: Place – POISON SKY
? Shepparton ? Race 3 ? Box 1 ? 450m ⏱ 7:29pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.55 Place (Top two finish required)
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538469/race/3

 

Second ?: Win – AUBAMEYANG
? Shepparton ? Race 6 ? Box 1 ? 450m ⏱ 8:31pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.70 Win
Form
?  https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538469/race/6

 

Third ?: Win – AUSSIE SECRET
? Shepparton ? Race 8 ? Box 4 ? 450m ⏱ 9:15pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.45 Win
Form
?  https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538469/race/8

 

The Watchdog says ? : POISON SKY (1) has been racing extremely well and recently beat a really strong line-up at Warrnambool. He should get every chance to figure in the top two from a good draw. AUBAMEYANG (1) will appreciate the empty draws on his outside and will be carving out serious time in front. AUSSIE SECRET (4) is airborne and should prove far too classy for his rivals.


Multi price:
$3.82

? RECENT $10 INVESTMENTS ?
Sunday 15 August: $0 (-100%)
Saturday 14 August: $0 (-100%)
Friday 13 August: $4.80 (-52%)
Thursday 12 August: $0 (-100%)
Wednesday 11 August: $0 (-100%)
Tuesday 10 August: $23.40 (+134%)
Monday 9 August: $0 (-100%)

Past 7 days: $28.20 for $70 invested (-60%)

Past 14 days: $107.63 for $140 Invested (-23%)

Past 28 days: $217.82 for $280 Invested (-22%)

? MONTH x MONTH RECORD

July 2021: $309.18 for $300 (+3%)
June 2021: $324.38 for $300 (+8%)

NOTE: June was the first full-month of the new-look Daily Mail, in which The Watchdog has a $10 daily spend.

*Please gamble responsibly

@WatchDogRacing@WatchDogRacing

@WatchDogRacing

Get a heads up on which SUPERSTAR GREYHOUNDS are racing every day, along with replays of the EYE-CATCHING WINNERS from the day before. Follow @WatchDogRacing on Twitter or Facebook.

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