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  • Tuesday, 10 Aug, 2021,
  • by @WatchDogRacing

Daily Mail: Will of Grace?

Who gets the family bragging rights – Weblec Raider (Jeff Britton) v Mepunga Grace (Angela Langton)?

Langton will be hoping it’s the ‘will of Grace’ when the talented duo lines up in a Restricted Win (3-6 Wins) final over 485m at Horsham this afternoon.

Weblec Raider (3 from 7) won his first three starts but had had no luck of late, while Mepunga Grace (4 from 12) has won three of her past six.

Expert form analyst The Watchdog says She Can Excite (5 from 16 – 3 of past 4) and Mystify Kick (3 from 13 – 2 of past 3) also have claims.

Two country stars – Masked Avenger (11 from 25) and Man Absconded (23 from 65) – also highlight the Horsham fixture.

Masked Avenger (3 from 4 Box 1), who was a Listed Western Districts Derby finalist, contests a Grade 5 over 410m, while Man Absconded (6 from 11 Box 2) lines up in a Free For All over 410m.

Meanwhile, at Warragul tonight, Security Man (5 from 13 – 5 of past 8) v King Of Glory (6 from 14) is a key clash in a Restricted Win (3-6 Wins) final over 460m. Security Man is 2 from 2 Box 4.

And Propelled (2 from 4) is a youngster who has launched his career in style!

Here’s an extensive analysis of today’s Must Watch Race, and be sure to scroll down further for ? The Watchdog’s $10 spend

? MUST-WATCH RACE: Tab.com.au (3 – 6 Wins) Final

MYSTIFY KICK ? WEBLEC RAIDER ? MEPUNGA GRACE ? SHE CAN EXCITE

? Horsham ? Race 5 ? 485m 4:52pm

 Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538453/race/5

The Watchdog says ?: Great race and it features quite a few serious up-and-comers. WEBLEC RAIDER (6) captured the rich Pink Diamond Maiden final at Bendigo back in June and has been luckless since. Although beaten in his heat, his run was still impressive, and he would have derived a lot of benefit from that run. He missed the kick and had to work hard throughout, so with a better beginning, he should settle in the top three and take a power of beating. Kennelmate MEPUNGA GRACE (7) is another who didn’t have a lot of luck in her heat, and she too is expected to make amends. Two runs back, she powered to the line when scoring at Warrnambool in a slick 25.34sec and she appears to be getting better with every run. SHE CAN EXCITE (8) is the interesting runner; she can be a little hit or miss early but she has electric pace soon after box rise, and she should get a nice cart across in the initial stages. After a string of luckless performances, she showed fans her true ability when notching up a hat-trick of wins at Warrnambool in recent weeks. MYSTIFY KICK (3) rounds out the ‘big guns’. He’s still learning what it’s all about but announced himself as a potential star when carving out a blistering 27.10sec win here two runs back. If given a clear run, he’ll prove very hard to hold out. However, there’s a concern he may get crowded in the initial stages. I can’t wait to see this race unfold, and these chasers are all worth following going forward.

Selections:  6 – 7 – 8 – 3

? THE WATCHDOG’S $10 INVESTMENT ?
? Tuesday 10 August

? $3 Multi

 

First ?: Win – RAMBO BOBBIE
? Healesville ? Race 1 ? Box 8 ? 350m ⏱ 10:27am
TAB fixed odds: $1.45 Win

Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538451/race/1

 

Second ?: Win – ST. MARYS PANDA
? Healesville ? Race 2 ? Box 8 ? 300m ⏱ 10:42am
TAB fixed odds: $1.75 Win
Form
?  https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538451/race/2

 

Third ?: Win – HA HA MAGOO

? Healesville ? Race 6 ? Box 4 ? 350m ⏱ 11:52am
TAB fixed odds: $1.80 Win
Form
?  https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538451/race/6

 

The Watchdog says ? : RAMBO BOBBIE (8) and ST. MARYS PANDA (8) are both ideally drawn, and I expect them to both lead throughout. HA HA MAGOO (4) will appreciate the smaller line-up and will really get into his work in the middle stages.


Multi price:
$4.55

? $2.50 Multi

 

First ?: Place – XAVI BALE
? Geelong ? Race 4 ? Box 8 ? 460m ⏱ 3:02pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.60 Place (top two finish required)

Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538452/race/4

 

Second ?: Place – BUFFET BARON
? Geelong ? Race 8 ? Box 3 ? 460m ⏱ 4:21pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.50 Place (top two finish required)
Form
?  https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538452/race/8

 

The Watchdog says ? : XAVI BALE (8) is showing promise and won’t get a better chance to break his maiden, so a top two finish looks likely. BUFFET BARON (2) is a powerful type and should get a nice run through in the middle stages. So, with an ounce of luck early, he should figure in the finish.


Multi price:
$2.40

? $2.50 Multi

 

First ?: Place – PEPONI BALE
? Horsham ? Race 4 ? Box 6 ? 410m ⏱ 4:37pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.80 Place (top two finish required)

Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538453/race/4

 

Second ?: Win – MASKED AVENGER
? Horsham ? Race 10 ? Box 1 ? 410m ⏱ 6:20pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.40 Win
Form
?  https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538453/race/10

 

Third ?: Place – IVY ISOBEL

? Warragul ? Race 4 ? Box 4 ? 400m ⏱ 7:45pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.55 Place
Form
?  https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538454/race/4

 

The Watchdog says ? : PEPONI BALE (6) will appreciate the empty draw and should put a space in them mid-race. MASKED AVENGER (1) is an absolute jet and should lead from go-to-whoa. IVY ISOBEL (4) is airborne at present and just needs a clear crack in the middle stages.


Multi price:
$3.90

? $2 Quaddie – 8.33% (24 combinations)
? Horsham ? Races 5 – 8 ⏱ 4:52pm         ***Includes Must Watch Race***
Form ?  https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538453/race/5

?: 6,7,8
? ?: 1
? ? ?: 1,8
? ? ? ?: 1,2,4,7

The Watchdog says ? : The first leg features several exciting chasers; however, I think the outside division can control the race. BLAZER GLORY (1) is a serious prospect and is drawn to lead throughout. The wings can dominate the third leg, while the last leg is a little more open, so we have gone wide.

? RECENT $10 INVESTMENTS ?
Monday 9 August: $0 (-100%)
Sunday 8 August: $20.43 (+104%)
Saturday 7 August: $0 (-100%)
Friday 6 August: $15.30 (+53%)
Thursday 5 August: $29.65 (+197%)
Wednesday 4 August: $8.65 (-14%)
Tuesday 3 August: $0 (-100%)

 

Past 7 days: $74.03 for $70 invested (+6%)

Past 14 days: $121.37 for $140 Invested (-13%)

Past 28 days: $258.56 for $280 Invested (-8%)

? MONTH x MONTH RECORD

July 2021: $309.18 for $300 (+3%)
June 2021: $324.38 for $300 (+8%)

NOTE: June was the first full-month of the new-look Daily Mail, in which The Watchdog has a $10 daily spend.

*Please gamble responsibly

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@WatchDogRacing

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