The scratching of G3 Healesville Cup hero Zambora Lou opens the gateway for a classic clash between Dr. Tucker (winner G3 Great Chase) v Mr. Fix It (G3 Cup Night Sprint finalist) in today’s Winter Cup final.
But maestro Thompson still has former Ballarat track record holder Pirate Pete (18.94sec PB) in the $5000 to-the-winner event, while reserve Hello George (17 from 32) must also be respected along with The Watchdog’s top pick Mepunga Knight (13 from 31).
It’s a sensational card, as Healesville’s Festival of Racing continues, and another magical match-up is Duncan (8 from 13 Trk/Dst – 16.50sec PB) v Jordanville Jet (6 from 7 Trk/Dst – 16.57sec) in a Free For All (300m), while in the last of the day Sneaky Mojo is going for five straight wins.
Here’s an extensive analysis of today’s Must Watch Race, and be sure to scroll down further for 💰 The Watchdog’s $10 spend…
👀 MUST-WATCH RACE: Winter Cup Final
DR. TUCKER 🆚 MR. FIX IT 🆚 PIRATE PETE 🆚 HELLO GEORGE
📍 Healesville 🏁 Race 6 📏 350m ⏱ 12:30pm
Form 👉 https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666541451/race/6
The Watchdog says 🎤: Cracking line-up and with some of the big guns poorly drawn, there may be a boil over. DR. TUCKER (5) was a scorching 19.02sec heat winner last week and he deserves to be favourite, however with a keen railer in MR. FIX IT (6) drawn on his outside, there may be some bumping in the initial stages and that may be crucial to both their chances. Both of those runners were brilliant though last week, so if they happen to gain a clear passage, they will finish prominently. PIRATE PETE (8) has been a tad disappointing of late, but he has come up with a decent draw and if there is some crowding in the middle, he should be balanced early enough to assume control and capitalise. Track specialist HELLO GEORGE (9) has been fortunate enough to gain a run from box two and he will be looking to atone for his luckless heat run. He is obviously meeting a few topliners here, but he is the premier straight tracker in the country, and he warrants respect. MEPUNGA KNIGHT (1) and UNTESTED (3) are the value runners for mine. The ‘Knight’ had his first look at the track last week and he will be much better for the run. We all know he can bust the clock when in the clear, whilst the three was huge behind ‘Tucker’ last week and he appears to have gone to another level in his six runs this year. It should be a thrilling affair, and, in all honesty, any one of the eight runners could win without surprising.
Selections: 1 – 3 – 8 – 9
📢 THE WATCHDOG’S $10 INVESTMENT 📢
📅 Sunday 11 July
💰 $4 Multi
First 🦵: Place – RIDGE
📍 Healesville 🏁 Race 3 🔲 Box 3 📏 350m ⏱ 11:36am
TAB fixed odds: $1.35 Place (top two finish required)
Form 👉 https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666541451/race/3
Second 🦵: Place – LOTS OF CHATTER
📍 Sandown Park 🏁 Race 4 🔲 Box 2 📏 515m ⏱ 2:57pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.40 Place (top two finish required)
Form 👉 https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666541452/race/4
Third 🦵: Place – JAYVILLE SLICK
📍 Sale 🏁 Race 8 🔲 Box 1 📏 650m ⏱ 7:22pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.30 Place
Form 👉 https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666541450/race/8
The Watchdog says 🎤 : RIDGE (3) has a serious motor and should be suited to straight track racing, and he also has the benefit of an empty draw on his outside. LOTS OF CHATTER (2) is all class. He should make Kuro Kismet work hard throughout, and a top two finish looks likely. JAYVILLE SLICK (1) has the right draw and with an ounce of luck early, he should figure prominently.
Multi price: $2.45
💰 $3 Quaddie – 2% (150 combinations)
📍 Healesville 🏁 Races 5 – 8 ⏱ 12:09pm ***includes Must Watch Race***
Form 👉 https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666541451/race/5
🦵 🦵: 1,3,5,8,9
🦵 🦵 🦵: 1,3,4
🦵 🦵 🦵 🦵: 2,3,6,7,8
The Watchdog says 🎤 : YOU EMBER (2) and AMLIN CRYSTAL (3) should dominate the first leg, however the Winter Cup Final is an incredibly open race, so have gone fishing for value. DUNCAN (1) has an ideal draw in Race 7, however RUMOUR IS FACT (3) and JORDANVILLE JET (4) are both more than capable types. With the scratching of Hello George in the last leg, the race has now become very open, and hopefully we can land some value there also.
💰 $3 Win – PERFECT PRODUCT
📍 Sandown Park 🏁 Race 6 🔲 Box 6 📏 515m ⏱ 3:47pm
TAB fixed odds: $2.50 Win
Form 👉 https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666541452/race/6
The Watchdog says 🎤 : PERFECT PRODUCT (6) has scored some electrifying wins around Sale, and he showed that he can handle two turns with a cracking 30.25sec Meadows win. Today he has an empty draw on his inside, so with an even getaway, he should be able to balance up and zip past the inside division as they charge into the first bend. With the potential to go sub-29.40sec, they will have some trouble reeling him in.
💰 RECENT $10 INVESTMENTS 💰
Saturday 10 July: $6 (-40%)
Friday 9 July: $0 (-100%)
Thursday 8 July: $0 (-100%)
Wednesday 7 July: $8.40 (-16%)
Tuesday 6 July: $31.80 (+218%)
Monday 5 July: $11.65 (+17%)
Sunday 4 July: $25.55 (+156%)
Past 7 days: $83.40 for $70 invested (+19%)
Past 14 days: $155.52 for $140 invested (+11%)
Past 28 days: $335.72 for $280 invested (+20%)
📅 MONTH x MONTH RECORD
June 2021: $324.38 for $300 (+8%)
NOTE: June was the first full-month of the new-look Daily Mail, in which The Watchdog has a $10 daily spend.
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