The Watchdog considers the G2 Warrnambool Cup a “Shima Shine or the field?” conundrum.

“Stunning line-up for the Cup and there are at least six genuine winning chances,” he said.

“Shima Shine has been installed the short-priced favourite and rightfully so… (But) his box manners are always risky and with a slow beginner drawn on his outside, if he happens to miss away, he is not going to get enough room to accelerate and put himself into contention.”

So, let’s turn our attention to the sensational sideshow – Cup Night Match Race – featuring the expert form analyst’s best ‘Win’ bet, Tiggerlong Tonk.

“Ferdinand Boy is expected to lead and has won two G2 country cups, but I don’t think the match race format will suit him,” The Watchdog said. “So, with this format, ‘Tonk’ should be on his heels as they turn for home and I don’t think ‘Ferdinand’ will hold him off.”

Check out The Watchdog’s extensive analysis of today’s ‘Must-Watch’ race, along with his best ‘Win’ and ‘Place’ bets in today’s edition of the Daily Mail.