The Watchdog is tipping stereotypical young star Quintana Bale to be ‘true to type’ at Geelong.

A serious talent, she’s won nine from 18 (50%) and was a finalist in the Lil Dickie Oaks (2^nd) and Warrnambool Oaks (3^rd).

“Four runs back, she recorded a brilliant 25.05sec Warrnambool win and a similar performance can see her score again,” he said.

But the expert form analyst rates ageless veteran Speed Star, who is contesting his 106^th start, as the obvious danger.

He’s a three-time G2 finalist and has won 44 races, including six of his past 10 (60%). He’s also seven from 14 (50%) exiting the ‘pink’ alley and boasts a flying 25.48sec PB here.

He’s still racing with great confidence… and should have enough speed to cross early on.”

The Watchdog is also respectful of ex-NSW speedster Emmy’s Shark and class act Providence Bale.

Check out The Watchdog’s extensive analysis of tonight’s ‘Must-Watch’ race, along with his best ‘Win’ and ‘Place’ bets in today’s edition of Daily Mail.